Recent typhoon circulation from Shadell and associated monsoon moisture have increased cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm likelihood over Shenzhen, capping daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Official and ensemble forecasts for August 31 converge on highs of 29–31 °C with 50–80 % precipitation probability and light northeast winds, though model spread allows brief clearing that could permit 32 °C if convection is delayed. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, but the current disturbed pattern favors the tightly bunched 30–32 °C market outcomes. Updated runs from CMA and global models ahead of the 31st will refine steering and timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 31 de agosto?
31°C 28%
32°C 20%
30°C 19%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
13%
30°C
19%
31°C
28%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 28%
32°C 20%
30°C 19%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
$192 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
9%
29°C
$12 Vol.
13%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$30 Vol.
23%
33°C
$248 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon circulation from Shadell and associated monsoon moisture have increased cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm likelihood over Shenzhen, capping daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Official and ensemble forecasts for August 31 converge on highs of 29–31 °C with 50–80 % precipitation probability and light northeast winds, though model spread allows brief clearing that could permit 32 °C if convection is delayed. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, but the current disturbed pattern favors the tightly bunched 30–32 °C market outcomes. Updated runs from CMA and global models ahead of the 31st will refine steering and timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$787Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon circulation from Shadell and associated monsoon moisture have increased cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm likelihood over Shenzhen, capping daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Official and ensemble forecasts for August 31 converge on highs of 29–31 °C with 50–80 % precipitation probability and light northeast winds, though model spread allows brief clearing that could permit 32 °C if convection is delayed. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, but the current disturbed pattern favors the tightly bunched 30–32 °C market outcomes. Updated runs from CMA and global models ahead of the 31st will refine steering and timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$787Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent typhoon circulation from Shadell and associated monsoon moisture have increased cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm likelihood over Shenzhen, capping daytime maxima through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Official and ensemble forecasts for August 31 converge on highs of 29–31 °C with 50–80 % precipitation probability and light northeast winds, though model spread allows brief clearing that could permit 32 °C if convection is delayed. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, but the current disturbed pattern favors the tightly bunched 30–32 °C market outcomes. Updated runs from CMA and global models ahead of the 31st will refine steering and timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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