Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature around 25–27°C on August 31 amid moderate to heavy rainfall, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover from monsoon moisture. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating, anchoring trader focus on the narrow 26–27°C range where leading probabilities cluster near 44–47%. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can enhance evaporative cooling or stabilize the boundary layer, plus subtle variations in wind-driven advection of warmer, moist air from the south. Official guidance notes ongoing instability through the period, with model consensus on rain but divergence in exact overnight lows supporting closely matched market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 31 de agosto?
24°C 86%
25°C 86%
23°C 85%
22°C or below 62%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
62%
23°C
85%
24°C
86%
25°C
86%
26°C
49%
27°C
44%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
40%
32°C or higher
49%
24°C 86%
25°C 86%
23°C 85%
22°C or below 62%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
62%
23°C
$0 Vol.
85%
24°C
$0 Vol.
86%
25°C
$0 Vol.
86%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
40%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature around 25–27°C on August 31 amid moderate to heavy rainfall, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover from monsoon moisture. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating, anchoring trader focus on the narrow 26–27°C range where leading probabilities cluster near 44–47%. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can enhance evaporative cooling or stabilize the boundary layer, plus subtle variations in wind-driven advection of warmer, moist air from the south. Official guidance notes ongoing instability through the period, with model consensus on rain but divergence in exact overnight lows supporting closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature around 25–27°C on August 31 amid moderate to heavy rainfall, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover from monsoon moisture. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating, anchoring trader focus on the narrow 26–27°C range where leading probabilities cluster near 44–47%. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can enhance evaporative cooling or stabilize the boundary layer, plus subtle variations in wind-driven advection of warmer, moist air from the south. Official guidance notes ongoing instability through the period, with model consensus on rain but divergence in exact overnight lows supporting closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature around 25–27°C on August 31 amid moderate to heavy rainfall, high humidity near 80–90%, and persistent cloud cover from monsoon moisture. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating, anchoring trader focus on the narrow 26–27°C range where leading probabilities cluster near 44–47%. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can enhance evaporative cooling or stabilize the boundary layer, plus subtle variations in wind-driven advection of warmer, moist air from the south. Official guidance notes ongoing instability through the period, with model consensus on rain but divergence in exact overnight lows supporting closely matched market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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