Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 31 de agosto?
24°C 34%
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
27°C or higher 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
34%
25°C
32%
26°C
29%
27°C or higher
20%
24°C 34%
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
27°C or higher 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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