National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate Miami highs near 89°F on August 30 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms driven by easterly flow and sea-breeze boundaries. This pattern, typical for late August, features high moisture content and instability that promotes cloud cover and convective cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the 88–92°F range rather than allowing stronger heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 90°F, providing context for why the market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent ranges; recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability but note that storm timing and coverage remain the key uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 30 de agosto?
90-91°F 42%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
79°F o menos
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
3%
98°F o más
1%
90-91°F 42%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
79°F o menos
$240 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$76 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$9 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$95 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$173 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$724 Vol.
42%
92-93°F
$452 Vol.
25%
94-95°F
$51 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$14 Vol.
3%
98°F o más
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate Miami highs near 89°F on August 30 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms driven by easterly flow and sea-breeze boundaries. This pattern, typical for late August, features high moisture content and instability that promotes cloud cover and convective cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the 88–92°F range rather than allowing stronger heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 90°F, providing context for why the market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent ranges; recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability but note that storm timing and coverage remain the key uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,871Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate Miami highs near 89°F on August 30 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms driven by easterly flow and sea-breeze boundaries. This pattern, typical for late August, features high moisture content and instability that promotes cloud cover and convective cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the 88–92°F range rather than allowing stronger heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 90°F, providing context for why the market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent ranges; recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability but note that storm timing and coverage remain the key uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,871Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate Miami highs near 89°F on August 30 amid scattered to likely afternoon thunderstorms driven by easterly flow and sea-breeze boundaries. This pattern, typical for late August, features high moisture content and instability that promotes cloud cover and convective cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the 88–92°F range rather than allowing stronger heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 90°F, providing context for why the market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent ranges; recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability but note that storm timing and coverage remain the key uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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