A warm, dry air mass is driving above-average temperatures across São Paulo on August 28, 2026, with official forecasts from IPMet and CGE centering the daily maximum near 31–32°C under sunny skies and negligible precipitation. Light northwesterly winds and relative humidity dropping below 40% support efficient daytime heating, consistent with multiple numerical models projecting highs of 30–33°C. Historical August averages near 23°C highlight the anomaly, though the pattern is expected to shift with returning moisture and cooler air after September 1. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, favoring 31–33°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes outside the 30–34°C envelope.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 28 de agosto?
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
$11,743 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,743 Vol.
28 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
46%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
$11,743 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,743 Vol.
28 ago 2026
24°C or below
$1,436 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,673 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$692 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,923 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$259 Vol.
2%
30°C
$605 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,429 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,232 Vol.
46%
33°C
$1,980 Vol.
24%
34°C or higher
$426 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass is driving above-average temperatures across São Paulo on August 28, 2026, with official forecasts from IPMet and CGE centering the daily maximum near 31–32°C under sunny skies and negligible precipitation. Light northwesterly winds and relative humidity dropping below 40% support efficient daytime heating, consistent with multiple numerical models projecting highs of 30–33°C. Historical August averages near 23°C highlight the anomaly, though the pattern is expected to shift with returning moisture and cooler air after September 1. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, favoring 31–33°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes outside the 30–34°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$11,743Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass is driving above-average temperatures across São Paulo on August 28, 2026, with official forecasts from IPMet and CGE centering the daily maximum near 31–32°C under sunny skies and negligible precipitation. Light northwesterly winds and relative humidity dropping below 40% support efficient daytime heating, consistent with multiple numerical models projecting highs of 30–33°C. Historical August averages near 23°C highlight the anomaly, though the pattern is expected to shift with returning moisture and cooler air after September 1. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, favoring 31–33°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes outside the 30–34°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,743Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass is driving above-average temperatures across São Paulo on August 28, 2026, with official forecasts from IPMet and CGE centering the daily maximum near 31–32°C under sunny skies and negligible precipitation. Light northwesterly winds and relative humidity dropping below 40% support efficient daytime heating, consistent with multiple numerical models projecting highs of 30–33°C. Historical August averages near 23°C highlight the anomaly, though the pattern is expected to shift with returning moisture and cooler air after September 1. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, favoring 31–33°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes outside the 30–34°C envelope.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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