**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving elevated late-August temperatures in São Paulo, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime maximum of 32–35 °C on August 29.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit cloud cover and moisture, supporting rapid daytime heating while keeping humidity low. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Defesa Civil highlight this heat wave extending through the weekend, consistent with INMET and regional model guidance showing highs several degrees above the month’s typical 22–27 °C range. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34 °C (over 70 % combined) reflects this tight cluster of forecasts, with lower probabilities for 35 °C or higher reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating and potential minor sea-breeze moderation. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations on the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 29 de agosto?
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
29%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
28°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$143 Vol.
2%
31°C
$10 Vol.
3%
32°C
$340 Vol.
10%
33°C
$120 Vol.
29%
34°C
$352 Vol.
43%
35°C
$513 Vol.
16%
36°C
$100 Vol.
5%
37°C
$205 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$1,449 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving elevated late-August temperatures in São Paulo, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime maximum of 32–35 °C on August 29.**
Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit cloud cover and moisture, supporting rapid daytime heating while keeping humidity low. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Defesa Civil highlight this heat wave extending through the weekend, consistent with INMET and regional model guidance showing highs several degrees above the month’s typical 22–27 °C range. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34 °C (over 70 % combined) reflects this tight cluster of forecasts, with lower probabilities for 35 °C or higher reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating and potential minor sea-breeze moderation. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$3,170Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving elevated late-August temperatures in São Paulo, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime maximum of 32–35 °C on August 29.**
Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit cloud cover and moisture, supporting rapid daytime heating while keeping humidity low. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Defesa Civil highlight this heat wave extending through the weekend, consistent with INMET and regional model guidance showing highs several degrees above the month’s typical 22–27 °C range. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34 °C (over 70 % combined) reflects this tight cluster of forecasts, with lower probabilities for 35 °C or higher reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating and potential minor sea-breeze moderation. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,170Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving elevated late-August temperatures in São Paulo, with official forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime maximum of 32–35 °C on August 29.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit cloud cover and moisture, supporting rapid daytime heating while keeping humidity low. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Defesa Civil highlight this heat wave extending through the weekend, consistent with INMET and regional model guidance showing highs several degrees above the month’s typical 22–27 °C range. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34 °C (over 70 % combined) reflects this tight cluster of forecasts, with lower probabilities for 35 °C or higher reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating and potential minor sea-breeze moderation. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations on the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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