Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to overnight lows in the low 80s for Miami on August 30 amid persistent easterly flow, dew points near 77–80 °F, and scattered nocturnal showers. High boundary-layer moisture and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average of roughly 79 °F. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can either enhance or suppress overnight mixing and thereby shift the low by a few degrees. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to the 82–83 °F bin while spreading the balance across adjacent ranges, reflecting uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be clarified by updated model runs and local observations through the weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 30 de agosto?
86-87°F 50%
84-85°F 44%
88-89°F 44%
92°F o más 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
73°F o menos
22%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
50%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
37%
92°F o más
39%
86-87°F 50%
84-85°F 44%
88-89°F 44%
92°F o más 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
73°F o menos
$0 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$42 Vol.
23%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
44%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
50%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
44%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
37%
92°F o más
$5 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to overnight lows in the low 80s for Miami on August 30 amid persistent easterly flow, dew points near 77–80 °F, and scattered nocturnal showers. High boundary-layer moisture and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average of roughly 79 °F. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can either enhance or suppress overnight mixing and thereby shift the low by a few degrees. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to the 82–83 °F bin while spreading the balance across adjacent ranges, reflecting uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be clarified by updated model runs and local observations through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$67Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to overnight lows in the low 80s for Miami on August 30 amid persistent easterly flow, dew points near 77–80 °F, and scattered nocturnal showers. High boundary-layer moisture and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average of roughly 79 °F. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can either enhance or suppress overnight mixing and thereby shift the low by a few degrees. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to the 82–83 °F bin while spreading the balance across adjacent ranges, reflecting uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be clarified by updated model runs and local observations through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$67Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to overnight lows in the low 80s for Miami on August 30 amid persistent easterly flow, dew points near 77–80 °F, and scattered nocturnal showers. High boundary-layer moisture and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average of roughly 79 °F. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can either enhance or suppress overnight mixing and thereby shift the low by a few degrees. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to the 82–83 °F bin while spreading the balance across adjacent ranges, reflecting uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be clarified by updated model runs and local observations through the weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes