Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 80°F at Miami International Airport early on August 28, 2026, aligning precisely with the 80-81°F bin that commands 98% market-implied probability. Typical late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a strong Bermuda high and easterly flow, maintained overnight lows near or slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 77°F, with no cold front or unusual radiational cooling to drive temperatures lower. Historical records show August 28 lows rarely dip below 72°F, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed value. A measurement discrepancy at an alternate station or revised official summary could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions are uncommon once preliminary data are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 28 de agosto?
80-81°F 98%
76-77°F 2%
78-79°F 1.1%
74-75°F <1%
$4,002 Vol.
$4,002 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 98%
76-77°F 2%
78-79°F 1.1%
74-75°F <1%
$4,002 Vol.
$4,002 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 80°F at Miami International Airport early on August 28, 2026, aligning precisely with the 80-81°F bin that commands 98% market-implied probability. Typical late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a strong Bermuda high and easterly flow, maintained overnight lows near or slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 77°F, with no cold front or unusual radiational cooling to drive temperatures lower. Historical records show August 28 lows rarely dip below 72°F, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed value. A measurement discrepancy at an alternate station or revised official summary could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions are uncommon once preliminary data are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes