Current forecast consensus from multiple models places Shanghai’s August 31 high near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms and southeasterly winds. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern are expected to moderate afternoon peaks, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (48 % implied) and 31 °C (27.5 %). Recent days have seen similar maxima of 31–33 °C with light rain, and no significant synoptic shift such as a stronger ridge or frontal passage is indicated before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 31 de agosto?
32°C 48%
31°C 28%
33°C 11%
30°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
28%
32°C
48%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 28%
33°C 11%
30°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
26°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$49 Vol.
9%
31°C
$42 Vol.
28%
32°C
$151 Vol.
48%
33°C
$98 Vol.
11%
34°C
$35 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models places Shanghai’s August 31 high near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms and southeasterly winds. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern are expected to moderate afternoon peaks, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (48 % implied) and 31 °C (27.5 %). Recent days have seen similar maxima of 31–33 °C with light rain, and no significant synoptic shift such as a stronger ridge or frontal passage is indicated before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$760Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models places Shanghai’s August 31 high near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms and southeasterly winds. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern are expected to moderate afternoon peaks, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (48 % implied) and 31 °C (27.5 %). Recent days have seen similar maxima of 31–33 °C with light rain, and no significant synoptic shift such as a stronger ridge or frontal passage is indicated before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$760Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models places Shanghai’s August 31 high near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms and southeasterly winds. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern are expected to moderate afternoon peaks, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (48 % implied) and 31 °C (27.5 %). Recent days have seen similar maxima of 31–33 °C with light rain, and no significant synoptic shift such as a stronger ridge or frontal passage is indicated before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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