Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild, unsettled pattern for Amsterdam on September 4 driven by southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 mph limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and recent runs converge on a maximum of 20–22 °C (roughly 68–72 °F), consistent with early-September climatology near 20.4 °C at Schiphol. This supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (52 %) and adjacent 21–23 °C outcomes, as persistent moisture and reduced insolation make substantial departures from these values unlikely absent a rapid model shift in the final 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 4 de septiembre?
22°C 52%
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
20°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
17°C o menos
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
23%
22°C
52%
23°C
20%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
20°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$138 Vol.
1%
18°C
$90 Vol.
1%
19°C
$145 Vol.
2%
20°C
$121 Vol.
4%
21°C
$277 Vol.
23%
22°C
$701 Vol.
52%
23°C
$348 Vol.
20%
24°C
$140 Vol.
3%
25°C
$23 Vol.
1%
26°C
$70 Vol.
1%
27°C o más
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild, unsettled pattern for Amsterdam on September 4 driven by southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 mph limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and recent runs converge on a maximum of 20–22 °C (roughly 68–72 °F), consistent with early-September climatology near 20.4 °C at Schiphol. This supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (52 %) and adjacent 21–23 °C outcomes, as persistent moisture and reduced insolation make substantial departures from these values unlikely absent a rapid model shift in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,224Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild, unsettled pattern for Amsterdam on September 4 driven by southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 mph limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and recent runs converge on a maximum of 20–22 °C (roughly 68–72 °F), consistent with early-September climatology near 20.4 °C at Schiphol. This supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (52 %) and adjacent 21–23 °C outcomes, as persistent moisture and reduced insolation make substantial departures from these values unlikely absent a rapid model shift in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,224Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild, unsettled pattern for Amsterdam on September 4 driven by southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 mph limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and recent runs converge on a maximum of 20–22 °C (roughly 68–72 °F), consistent with early-September climatology near 20.4 °C at Schiphol. This supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (52 %) and adjacent 21–23 °C outcomes, as persistent moisture and reduced insolation make substantial departures from these values unlikely absent a rapid model shift in the final 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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