Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and precipitation over Guangzhou on September 4, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 32–33 °C. Multiple models, including those from Yr, WeatherBug, and Met Office, converge on highs of 27–29 °C amid northwest winds of 4–10 mph and humidity above 70 %, while some runs project even lower values near 25 °C if rainfall arrives earlier or intensifies. This spread across closely matched market probabilities for 27–31 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and coverage of convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 4 de septiembre?
28°C 24%
30°C 18%
31°C 17%
29°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
23°C o menos
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
16%
28°C
24%
29°C
16%
30°C
18%
31°C
17%
32°C
5%
33°C o más
3%
28°C 24%
30°C 18%
31°C 17%
29°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
23°C o menos
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$205 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$11 Vol.
16%
30°C
$42 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C
$100 Vol.
5%
33°C o más
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and precipitation over Guangzhou on September 4, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 32–33 °C. Multiple models, including those from Yr, WeatherBug, and Met Office, converge on highs of 27–29 °C amid northwest winds of 4–10 mph and humidity above 70 %, while some runs project even lower values near 25 °C if rainfall arrives earlier or intensifies. This spread across closely matched market probabilities for 27–31 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and coverage of convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$368Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and precipitation over Guangzhou on September 4, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 32–33 °C. Multiple models, including those from Yr, WeatherBug, and Met Office, converge on highs of 27–29 °C amid northwest winds of 4–10 mph and humidity above 70 %, while some runs project even lower values near 25 °C if rainfall arrives earlier or intensifies. This spread across closely matched market probabilities for 27–31 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and coverage of convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$368Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and precipitation over Guangzhou on September 4, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 32–33 °C. Multiple models, including those from Yr, WeatherBug, and Met Office, converge on highs of 27–29 °C amid northwest winds of 4–10 mph and humidity above 70 %, while some runs project even lower values near 25 °C if rainfall arrives earlier or intensifies. This spread across closely matched market probabilities for 27–31 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in the timing and coverage of convective activity. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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