Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 5 maximum reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus, including outputs aligned with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, showing highs near seasonal norms of 29°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from tropical cyclone Saudel. This system has introduced showers and northwesterly flow that limit daytime heating, while broader El Niño conditions support a normal-to-above-normal monthly temperature signal. Key uncertainties center on Saudel’s exact track and intensity, which could either enhance cooling via additional rain or allow clearer skies for higher readings. Updated HKO forecasts and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 5 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 5 de septiembre?
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 26%
32°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
24°C o menos
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C o más
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 26%
32°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$40 Vol.
3%
29°C
$10 Vol.
26%
30°C
$12 Vol.
28%
31°C
$10 Vol.
36%
32°C
$66 Vol.
6%
33°C
$8 Vol.
3%
34°C o más
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 5 maximum reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus, including outputs aligned with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, showing highs near seasonal norms of 29°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from tropical cyclone Saudel. This system has introduced showers and northwesterly flow that limit daytime heating, while broader El Niño conditions support a normal-to-above-normal monthly temperature signal. Key uncertainties center on Saudel’s exact track and intensity, which could either enhance cooling via additional rain or allow clearer skies for higher readings. Updated HKO forecasts and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$145Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 5 maximum reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus, including outputs aligned with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, showing highs near seasonal norms of 29°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from tropical cyclone Saudel. This system has introduced showers and northwesterly flow that limit daytime heating, while broader El Niño conditions support a normal-to-above-normal monthly temperature signal. Key uncertainties center on Saudel’s exact track and intensity, which could either enhance cooling via additional rain or allow clearer skies for higher readings. Updated HKO forecasts and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$145Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 5 maximum reflects the latest numerical weather prediction consensus, including outputs aligned with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, showing highs near seasonal norms of 29°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from tropical cyclone Saudel. This system has introduced showers and northwesterly flow that limit daytime heating, while broader El Niño conditions support a normal-to-above-normal monthly temperature signal. Key uncertainties center on Saudel’s exact track and intensity, which could either enhance cooling via additional rain or allow clearer skies for higher readings. Updated HKO forecasts and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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