**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 4 de septiembre?
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
$20,479 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,479 Vol.
4 sep 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
36%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
$20,479 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,479 Vol.
4 sep 2026
23°C o menos
$10,859 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$802 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,644 Vol.
6%
28°C
$2,058 Vol.
18%
29°C
$1,338 Vol.
36%
30°C
$749 Vol.
32%
31°C
$767 Vol.
12%
32°C
$528 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$428 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$20,479Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,479Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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