Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 3 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 3 de mayo?
11°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$23,542 Vol.
$23,542 Vol.
3 may 2026
7°C o menos
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Sí
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o más
No
11°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$23,542 Vol.
$23,542 Vol.
3 may 2026
7°C o menos
$993 Vol.
No
8°C
$627 Vol.
No
9°C
$2,940 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,298 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,534 Vol.
Sí
12°C
$3,912 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,182 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,056 Vol.
No
15°C
$484 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,137 Vol.
No
17°C o más
$1,380 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$23,542Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,542Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes