Recent meteorological forecasts from regional monitoring agencies project a minimum temperature of 21°C for Shanghai on June 6, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early June conditions in this subtropical monsoon climate typically feature nighttime lows near 20–22°C, supported by current model runs showing stable atmospheric patterns without significant cold-air advection or enhanced cloud cover. Official observations through the day have so far tracked closely with these expectations, though final resolution depends on the complete 24-hour record. Unseasonal shifts such as heavier rainfall or altered wind patterns could introduce minor cooling and alter the recorded low, but historical data indicate such deviations remain unlikely this late in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 6?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$29,689 Vol.
$29,689 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$29,689 Vol.
$29,689 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from regional monitoring agencies project a minimum temperature of 21°C for Shanghai on June 6, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early June conditions in this subtropical monsoon climate typically feature nighttime lows near 20–22°C, supported by current model runs showing stable atmospheric patterns without significant cold-air advection or enhanced cloud cover. Official observations through the day have so far tracked closely with these expectations, though final resolution depends on the complete 24-hour record. Unseasonal shifts such as heavier rainfall or altered wind patterns could introduce minor cooling and alter the recorded low, but historical data indicate such deviations remain unlikely this late in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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