Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 25 de junio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 25 de junio?
20°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 Vol.
$21,556 Vol.
25 jun 2026
16°C o menos
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sí
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o más
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 Vol.
$21,556 Vol.
25 jun 2026
16°C o menos
$284 Vol.
No
17°C
$432 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,001 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,165 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,039 Vol.
Sí
21°C
$10,596 Vol.
No
22°C
$711 Vol.
No
23°C
$465 Vol.
No
24°C
$349 Vol.
No
25°C
$260 Vol.
No
26°C o más
$254 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$21,556Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,556Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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