Meta’s Mango model, an internal codename for its next-generation image and video generation system developed under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang, has drawn trader attention due to its December 2025 announcement targeting a first-half 2026 launch alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM. Development emphasizes high-fidelity visual output and early “world model” capabilities to compete with OpenAI’s Sora and Google’s multimodal tools, yet Avocado’s March 2026 delay after lagging rivals on internal benchmarks for reasoning and coding has introduced uncertainty around timelines. With H1 2026 nearing its end and no confirmed public release or benchmarks as of mid-June, sentiment reflects caution over potential slippage common in frontier AI projects amid Meta’s broader push through its Superintelligence Labs. Key near-term catalysts include any official Meta announcements or performance updates that could clarify resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$26,596 Vol.
30 de junio
15%
$26,596 Vol.
30 de junio
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Mango model, an internal codename for its next-generation image and video generation system developed under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang, has drawn trader attention due to its December 2025 announcement targeting a first-half 2026 launch alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM. Development emphasizes high-fidelity visual output and early “world model” capabilities to compete with OpenAI’s Sora and Google’s multimodal tools, yet Avocado’s March 2026 delay after lagging rivals on internal benchmarks for reasoning and coding has introduced uncertainty around timelines. With H1 2026 nearing its end and no confirmed public release or benchmarks as of mid-June, sentiment reflects caution over potential slippage common in frontier AI projects amid Meta’s broader push through its Superintelligence Labs. Key near-term catalysts include any official Meta announcements or performance updates that could clarify resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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