Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 86.5% implied probability to win the OH-07 Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his fundraising lead, endorsements from AFL-CIO North Shore and progressive groups like Our Revolution, and appeal as a union ironworker and Brook Park councilman to working-class voters in the redrawn district. Recent candidate forums, including the Northern Medina County Democrats event six days ago and a Bay Village-sponsored debate, have amplified his momentum amid early voting now underway after the April 6 registration deadline. Ed FitzGerald trails at 6.9% on prior name recognition as former Cuyahoga County executive, while Scott Schulz (4.1%) and Laura Rodriguez-Carbone (3.5%) lag in a fragmented eight-candidate field challenging GOP Rep. Max Miller; late scandals or shifts could alter the race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOH-07 Democratic Primary Winner
OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Brian Poindexter 87%
Ed FitzGerald 6.9%
Scott Schulz 4.1%
Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 3.5%
Brian Poindexter
87%
Ed FitzGerald
7%
Scott Schulz
4%
Laura Rodriguez-Carbone
3%
John Butchko
2%
Ann Marie Donegan
1%
Keith Mundy
1%
Michael Eisner
1%
Brian Poindexter 87%
Ed FitzGerald 6.9%
Scott Schulz 4.1%
Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 3.5%
Brian Poindexter
87%
Ed FitzGerald
7%
Scott Schulz
4%
Laura Rodriguez-Carbone
3%
John Butchko
2%
Ann Marie Donegan
1%
Keith Mundy
1%
Michael Eisner
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 86.5% implied probability to win the OH-07 Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his fundraising lead, endorsements from AFL-CIO North Shore and progressive groups like Our Revolution, and appeal as a union ironworker and Brook Park councilman to working-class voters in the redrawn district. Recent candidate forums, including the Northern Medina County Democrats event six days ago and a Bay Village-sponsored debate, have amplified his momentum amid early voting now underway after the April 6 registration deadline. Ed FitzGerald trails at 6.9% on prior name recognition as former Cuyahoga County executive, while Scott Schulz (4.1%) and Laura Rodriguez-Carbone (3.5%) lag in a fragmented eight-candidate field challenging GOP Rep. Max Miller; late scandals or shifts could alter the race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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