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icon for ¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?

¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?

¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?

NUEVO
28 sep 2026
Polymarket

$3,138 Vol.

Polymarket

8 pies o más

$1,878 Vol.

97%

10 pies o más

$929 Vol.

97%

12 pies o más

$185 Vol.

22%

14 pies o más

$146 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest significant wave height (WVHT) reported by NDBC station 44065 between 12:00 AM ET September 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the maximum WVHT in the station's standard meteorological data within that window, converted from meters to feet at 3.28084 ft/m and rounded to one decimal place. That rounded value is the value compared to the listed value. Rows in which WVHT is reported as missing will not be considered for resolution. Station 44065 marks a missing WVHT as MM in its real time file and as 99.00 in its archived files, and neither is a wave height. The value as first published governs. A revision published after a value is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to NDBC differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized value has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any WVHT data remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized WVHT data published up to that point. Only WVHT values published by station 44065 are used to resolve this market. Gaps in the station's reporting, including gaps of more than 48 consecutive hours, do not change this, and readings from any other station, buoy, model, or source will not be considered for resolution. A threshold that is not met by the WVHT values station 44065 published within the window will resolve to "No", and if station 44065 publishes no WVHT value at all within the window, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/44065.txt, the station's rolling 45-day file, read at any point while that file still covers the window. The values read from that file govern resolution. Station 44065 publishes to that file every 10 minutes, so the data for the window is complete once the window closes and nothing in this paragraph delays resolution. If the real time file was not read while it still covered the window, the station's archive at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_history.php?station=44065 will be used instead and the values it publishes will govern. On that page the file to use is the one listed under the heading Standard meteorological data, which is the September link under Quality controlled data for 2026. The spectral wave, supplemental measurements, and continuous winds files listed on that page report different quantities and will not be used.A coastal low pressure system tracking offshore is the main driver behind elevated wave conditions in New York Harbor through September 28, with National Weather Service forecasts for zone ANZ338 indicating northeast to north winds of 15–25 knots and waves generally 2–4 feet, occasionally reaching 5 feet amid small craft advisories. This setup stems from persistent onshore flow and distant swell generated by the low, though the sheltered harbor limits heights compared to open Atlantic waters where seas may exceed 10–15 feet. Official model consensus and recent NWS updates show modest intensification potential through Friday–Saturday before winds ease, with resolution hinging on precise wind gusts and any late-period swell arrival; traders should monitor updated coastal waters forecasts and high-tide observations for shifts in peak measurements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest significant wave height (WVHT) reported by NDBC station 44065 between 12:00 AM ET September 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The qualifying value is the maximum WVHT in the station's standard meteorological data within that window, converted from meters to feet at 3.28084 ft/m and rounded to one decimal place. That rounded value is the value compared to the listed value.

Rows in which WVHT is reported as missing will not be considered for resolution. Station 44065 marks a missing WVHT as MM in its real time file and as 99.00 in its archived files, and neither is a wave height.

The value as first published governs. A revision published after a value is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies.

In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to NDBC differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized value has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions.

If any WVHT data remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized WVHT data published up to that point.

Only WVHT values published by station 44065 are used to resolve this market. Gaps in the station's reporting, including gaps of more than 48 consecutive hours, do not change this, and readings from any other station, buoy, model, or source will not be considered for resolution. A threshold that is not met by the WVHT values station 44065 published within the window will resolve to "No", and if station 44065 publishes no WVHT value at all within the window, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/44065.txt, the station's rolling 45-day file, read at any point while that file still covers the window. The values read from that file govern resolution. Station 44065 publishes to that file every 10 minutes, so the data for the window is complete once the window closes and nothing in this paragraph delays resolution. If the real time file was not read while it still covered the window, the station's archive at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_history.php?station=44065 will be used instead and the values it publishes will govern. On that page the file to use is the one listed under the heading Standard meteorological data, which is the September link under Quality controlled data for 2026. The spectral wave, supplemental measurements, and continuous winds files listed on that page report different quantities and will not be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest significant wave height (WVHT) reported by NDBC station 44065 between 12:00 AM ET September 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the maximum WVHT in the station's standard meteorological data within that window, converted from meters to feet at 3.28084 ft/m and rounded to one decimal place. That rounded value is the value compared to the listed value. Rows in which WVHT is reported as missing will not be considered for resolution. Station 44065 marks a missing WVHT as MM in its real time file and as 99.00 in its archived files, and neither is a wave height. The value as first published governs. A revision published after a value is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to NDBC differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized value has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any WVHT data remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized WVHT data published up to that point. Only WVHT values published by station 44065 are used to resolve this market. Gaps in the station's reporting, including gaps of more than 48 consecutive hours, do not change this, and readings from any other station, buoy, model, or source will not be considered for resolution. A threshold that is not met by the WVHT values station 44065 published within the window will resolve to "No", and if station 44065 publishes no WVHT value at all within the window, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/44065.txt, the station's rolling 45-day file, read at any point while that file still covers the window. The values read from that file govern resolution. Station 44065 publishes to that file every 10 minutes, so the data for the window is complete once the window closes and nothing in this paragraph delays resolution. If the real time file was not read while it still covered the window, the station's archive at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_history.php?station=44065 will be used instead and the values it publishes will govern. On that page the file to use is the one listed under the heading Standard meteorological data, which is the September link under Quality controlled data for 2026. The spectral wave, supplemental measurements, and continuous winds files listed on that page report different quantities and will not be used.
Volumen
$3,138
Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest significant wave height (WVHT) reported by NDBC station 44065 between 12:00 AM ET September 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the maximum WVHT in the station's standard meteorological data within that window, converted from meters to feet at 3.28084 ft/m and rounded to one decimal place. That rounded value is the value compared to the listed value. Rows in which WVHT is reported as missing will not be considered for resolution. Station 44065 marks a missing WVHT as MM in its real time file and as 99.00 in its archived files, and neither is a wave height. The value as first published governs. A revision published after a value is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to NDBC differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized value has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any WVHT data remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized WVHT data published up to that point. Only WVHT values published by station 44065 are used to resolve this market. Gaps in the station's reporting, including gaps of more than 48 consecutive hours, do not change this, and readings from any other station, buoy, model, or source will not be considered for resolution. A threshold that is not met by the WVHT values station 44065 published within the window will resolve to "No", and if station 44065 publishes no WVHT value at all within the window, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/44065.txt, the station's rolling 45-day file, read at any point while that file still covers the window. The values read from that file govern resolution. Station 44065 publishes to that file every 10 minutes, so the data for the window is complete once the window closes and nothing in this paragraph delays resolution. If the real time file was not read while it still covered the window, the station's archive at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_history.php?station=44065 will be used instead and the values it publishes will govern. On that page the file to use is the one listed under the heading Standard meteorological data, which is the September link under Quality controlled data for 2026. The spectral wave, supplemental measurements, and continuous winds files listed on that page report different quantities and will not be used.A coastal low pressure system tracking offshore is the main driver behind elevated wave conditions in New York Harbor through September 28, with National Weather Service forecasts for zone ANZ338 indicating northeast to north winds of 15–25 knots and waves generally 2–4 feet, occasionally reaching 5 feet amid small craft advisories. This setup stems from persistent onshore flow and distant swell generated by the low, though the sheltered harbor limits heights compared to open Atlantic waters where seas may exceed 10–15 feet. Official model consensus and recent NWS updates show modest intensification potential through Friday–Saturday before winds ease, with resolution hinging on precise wind gusts and any late-period swell arrival; traders should monitor updated coastal waters forecasts and high-tide observations for shifts in peak measurements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest significant wave height (WVHT) reported by NDBC station 44065 between 12:00 AM ET September 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The qualifying value is the maximum WVHT in the station's standard meteorological data within that window, converted from meters to feet at 3.28084 ft/m and rounded to one decimal place. That rounded value is the value compared to the listed value.

Rows in which WVHT is reported as missing will not be considered for resolution. Station 44065 marks a missing WVHT as MM in its real time file and as 99.00 in its archived files, and neither is a wave height.

The value as first published governs. A revision published after a value is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies.

In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to NDBC differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized value has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions.

If any WVHT data remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized WVHT data published up to that point.

Only WVHT values published by station 44065 are used to resolve this market. Gaps in the station's reporting, including gaps of more than 48 consecutive hours, do not change this, and readings from any other station, buoy, model, or source will not be considered for resolution. A threshold that is not met by the WVHT values station 44065 published within the window will resolve to "No", and if station 44065 publishes no WVHT value at all within the window, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/44065.txt, the station's rolling 45-day file, read at any point while that file still covers the window. The values read from that file govern resolution. Station 44065 publishes to that file every 10 minutes, so the data for the window is complete once the window closes and nothing in this paragraph delays resolution. If the real time file was not read while it still covered the window, the station's archive at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_history.php?station=44065 will be used instead and the values it publishes will govern. On that page the file to use is the one listed under the heading Standard meteorological data, which is the September link under Quality controlled data for 2026. The spectral wave, supplemental measurements, and continuous winds files listed on that page report different quantities and will not be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest significant wave height (WVHT) reported by NDBC station 44065 between 12:00 AM ET September 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the maximum WVHT in the station's standard meteorological data within that window, converted from meters to feet at 3.28084 ft/m and rounded to one decimal place. That rounded value is the value compared to the listed value. Rows in which WVHT is reported as missing will not be considered for resolution. Station 44065 marks a missing WVHT as MM in its real time file and as 99.00 in its archived files, and neither is a wave height. The value as first published governs. A revision published after a value is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to NDBC differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized value has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any WVHT data remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized WVHT data published up to that point. Only WVHT values published by station 44065 are used to resolve this market. Gaps in the station's reporting, including gaps of more than 48 consecutive hours, do not change this, and readings from any other station, buoy, model, or source will not be considered for resolution. A threshold that is not met by the WVHT values station 44065 published within the window will resolve to "No", and if station 44065 publishes no WVHT value at all within the window, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/44065.txt, the station's rolling 45-day file, read at any point while that file still covers the window. The values read from that file govern resolution. Station 44065 publishes to that file every 10 minutes, so the data for the window is complete once the window closes and nothing in this paragraph delays resolution. If the real time file was not read while it still covered the window, the station's archive at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_history.php?station=44065 will be used instead and the values it publishes will govern. On that page the file to use is the one listed under the heading Standard meteorological data, which is the September link under Quality controlled data for 2026. The spectral wave, supplemental measurements, and continuous winds files listed on that page report different quantities and will not be used.
Volumen
$3,138
Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 2:18 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "8 pies o más" con 100%, seguido de "10 pies o más" con 99%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?" es "8 pies o más" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "10 pies o más" con 99%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Altura máxima de la ola en el puerto de Nueva York, del 23 al 28 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.