Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Federal Senate seats show a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in voting intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. Multiple candidates from different parties, including PL, PP, and smaller groupings, continue to split preferences in a state with high undecided and null vote shares. This dispersion, combined with limited major campaign developments or endorsements in recent weeks, sustains trader consensus that no single contender has secured a decisive edge. Shifts could emerge from further polling consolidation, party alliances, or late visibility gains by mid-tier names before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSimone Tebet 36%
Soninha Francine 28%
Marina Silva 26%
André do Prado 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Simone Tebet
21%
Soninha Francine
28%
Marina Silva
26%
André do Prado
22%
Maíra de Souza
21%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
21%
Geraldo Rufino
21%
Guilherme Derrite
28%
Weller Gonçalves
21%
Salles
12%
William Teixeira
8%
Marcio Alves
8%
Petter Maahs
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
7%
Simone Tebet 36%
Soninha Francine 28%
Marina Silva 26%
André do Prado 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Simone Tebet
$40 Vol.
21%
Soninha Francine
$20 Vol.
28%
Marina Silva
$20 Vol.
26%
André do Prado
$20 Vol.
22%
Maíra de Souza
$20 Vol.
21%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$59 Vol.
21%
Geraldo Rufino
$20 Vol.
21%
Guilherme Derrite
$40 Vol.
28%
Weller Gonçalves
$58 Vol.
21%
Salles
$20 Vol.
12%
William Teixeira
$40 Vol.
8%
Marcio Alves
$40 Vol.
8%
Petter Maahs
$42 Vol.
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$49 Vol.
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Federal Senate seats show a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in voting intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. Multiple candidates from different parties, including PL, PP, and smaller groupings, continue to split preferences in a state with high undecided and null vote shares. This dispersion, combined with limited major campaign developments or endorsements in recent weeks, sustains trader consensus that no single contender has secured a decisive edge. Shifts could emerge from further polling consolidation, party alliances, or late visibility gains by mid-tier names before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volumen
$487Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Federal Senate seats show a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in voting intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. Multiple candidates from different parties, including PL, PP, and smaller groupings, continue to split preferences in a state with high undecided and null vote shares. This dispersion, combined with limited major campaign developments or endorsements in recent weeks, sustains trader consensus that no single contender has secured a decisive edge. Shifts could emerge from further polling consolidation, party alliances, or late visibility gains by mid-tier names before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$487Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Federal Senate seats show a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in voting intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. Multiple candidates from different parties, including PL, PP, and smaller groupings, continue to split preferences in a state with high undecided and null vote shares. This dispersion, combined with limited major campaign developments or endorsements in recent weeks, sustains trader consensus that no single contender has secured a decisive edge. Shifts could emerge from further polling consolidation, party alliances, or late visibility gains by mid-tier names before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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