**Trader consensus on the low odds of H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects Senate procedural barriers that have repeatedly stalled the legislation.** Versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213), with later attempts to embed related provisions in the NDAA. However, the Senate has not advanced it, as the measure needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster while Republicans hold a 53-seat majority. Cross-party support has not materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. With limited legislative days remaining in 2026 and no scheduled path to enactment, implied probabilities heavily favor failure to reach the president's desk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
7% probabilidad
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
7% probabilidad
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the low odds of H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects Senate procedural barriers that have repeatedly stalled the legislation.** Versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213), with later attempts to embed related provisions in the NDAA. However, the Senate has not advanced it, as the measure needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster while Republicans hold a 53-seat majority. Cross-party support has not materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. With limited legislative days remaining in 2026 and no scheduled path to enactment, implied probabilities heavily favor failure to reach the president's desk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$190,044Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the low odds of H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects Senate procedural barriers that have repeatedly stalled the legislation.** Versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213), with later attempts to embed related provisions in the NDAA. However, the Senate has not advanced it, as the measure needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster while Republicans hold a 53-seat majority. Cross-party support has not materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. With limited legislative days remaining in 2026 and no scheduled path to enactment, implied probabilities heavily favor failure to reach the president's desk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$190,044Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on the low odds of H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects Senate procedural barriers that have repeatedly stalled the legislation.** Versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213), with later attempts to embed related provisions in the NDAA. However, the Senate has not advanced it, as the measure needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster while Republicans hold a 53-seat majority. Cross-party support has not materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. With limited legislative days remaining in 2026 and no scheduled path to enactment, implied probabilities heavily favor failure to reach the president's desk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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