House Republicans advanced a partial measure in July 2026 that bars new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while requiring advance disclosure of sales, yet attached it to a voter-identification provision that reduced Democratic support. The bill cleared the House 232-198 but has stalled in the Senate, where even a separate bipartisan committee-approved proposal faces a 60-vote threshold and competing priorities. Broader proposals requiring full divestment or covering the executive branch have not progressed, and recent reporting highlights limited floor time before the end of the 119th Congress. These procedural and partisan barriers have kept the implied probability of a comprehensive ban before 2027 at 6 percent among traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
6% probabilidad
$19,917 Vol.
$19,917 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
6% probabilidad
$19,917 Vol.
$19,917 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
House Republicans advanced a partial measure in July 2026 that bars new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while requiring advance disclosure of sales, yet attached it to a voter-identification provision that reduced Democratic support. The bill cleared the House 232-198 but has stalled in the Senate, where even a separate bipartisan committee-approved proposal faces a 60-vote threshold and competing priorities. Broader proposals requiring full divestment or covering the executive branch have not progressed, and recent reporting highlights limited floor time before the end of the 119th Congress. These procedural and partisan barriers have kept the implied probability of a comprehensive ban before 2027 at 6 percent among traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Volumen
$19,917Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
House Republicans advanced a partial measure in July 2026 that bars new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while requiring advance disclosure of sales, yet attached it to a voter-identification provision that reduced Democratic support. The bill cleared the House 232-198 but has stalled in the Senate, where even a separate bipartisan committee-approved proposal faces a 60-vote threshold and competing priorities. Broader proposals requiring full divestment or covering the executive branch have not progressed, and recent reporting highlights limited floor time before the end of the 119th Congress. These procedural and partisan barriers have kept the implied probability of a comprehensive ban before 2027 at 6 percent among traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$19,917Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Republicans advanced a partial measure in July 2026 that bars new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while requiring advance disclosure of sales, yet attached it to a voter-identification provision that reduced Democratic support. The bill cleared the House 232-198 but has stalled in the Senate, where even a separate bipartisan committee-approved proposal faces a 60-vote threshold and competing priorities. Broader proposals requiring full divestment or covering the executive branch have not progressed, and recent reporting highlights limited floor time before the end of the 119th Congress. These procedural and partisan barriers have kept the implied probability of a comprehensive ban before 2027 at 6 percent among traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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