Trump’s June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced “frontier” AI models’ cybersecurity capabilities up to 30 days before certain releases, while explicitly disclaiming mandatory licensing, preclearance, or burdensome rules and prioritizing innovation alongside national security. Subsequent administration actions, including a December 2025 order preempting conflicting state laws, reinforced a deregulatory tilt aimed at U.S. global leadership versus China. As of mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected industry calls for slowdowns or new limits, labeling safety concerns hoaxes, announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar, and stating existing criminal statutes suffice without hindering growth. These developments anchor trader assessments that further restrictive executive orders remain unlikely absent major shifts in congressional priorities or geopolitical events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre
3%
31 de octubre
12%
31 de diciembre
16%
$1,200 Vol.
30 de septiembre
$850 Vol.
3%
31 de octubre
$166 Vol.
12%
31 de diciembre
$184 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump’s June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced “frontier” AI models’ cybersecurity capabilities up to 30 days before certain releases, while explicitly disclaiming mandatory licensing, preclearance, or burdensome rules and prioritizing innovation alongside national security. Subsequent administration actions, including a December 2025 order preempting conflicting state laws, reinforced a deregulatory tilt aimed at U.S. global leadership versus China. As of mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected industry calls for slowdowns or new limits, labeling safety concerns hoaxes, announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar, and stating existing criminal statutes suffice without hindering growth. These developments anchor trader assessments that further restrictive executive orders remain unlikely absent major shifts in congressional priorities or geopolitical events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volumen
$1,200Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump’s June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced “frontier” AI models’ cybersecurity capabilities up to 30 days before certain releases, while explicitly disclaiming mandatory licensing, preclearance, or burdensome rules and prioritizing innovation alongside national security. Subsequent administration actions, including a December 2025 order preempting conflicting state laws, reinforced a deregulatory tilt aimed at U.S. global leadership versus China. As of mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected industry calls for slowdowns or new limits, labeling safety concerns hoaxes, announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar, and stating existing criminal statutes suffice without hindering growth. These developments anchor trader assessments that further restrictive executive orders remain unlikely absent major shifts in congressional priorities or geopolitical events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,200Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced “frontier” AI models’ cybersecurity capabilities up to 30 days before certain releases, while explicitly disclaiming mandatory licensing, preclearance, or burdensome rules and prioritizing innovation alongside national security. Subsequent administration actions, including a December 2025 order preempting conflicting state laws, reinforced a deregulatory tilt aimed at U.S. global leadership versus China. As of mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected industry calls for slowdowns or new limits, labeling safety concerns hoaxes, announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar, and stating existing criminal statutes suffice without hindering growth. These developments anchor trader assessments that further restrictive executive orders remain unlikely absent major shifts in congressional priorities or geopolitical events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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