Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
$395-$400 46%
>$410 46%
$365-$370 46%
$375-$380 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 abr 2026
<$365
43%
$365-$370
46%
$370-$375
43%
$375-$380
45%
$380-$385
43%
$385-$390
45%
$390-$395
43%
$395-$400
46%
$400-$405
45%
$405-$410
44%
>$410
46%
$395-$400 46%
>$410 46%
$365-$370 46%
$375-$380 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 abr 2026
<$365
$0 Vol.
43%
$365-$370
$0 Vol.
46%
$370-$375
$0 Vol.
43%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
45%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
43%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
45%
$390-$395
$0 Vol.
43%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
46%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
45%
$405-$410
$0 Vol.
44%
>$410
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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