The US maintains its longstanding policy of recognizing Somalia’s territorial integrity, with the State Department reaffirming this stance after Israel became the first UN member to recognize Somaliland in December 2025. President Trump has described the issue as under review and open to study, citing potential strategic gains such as military basing rights at Berbera and access to critical minerals that could counter Chinese influence and Houthi threats in the Red Sea. Bipartisan congressional momentum, including Senator Ted Cruz’s 2025 letter and the introduced Republic of Somaliland Independence Act, has increased attention, yet the administration has shown no movement toward recognition. Key upcoming factors include the 2026 US midterms, Israel’s legislative elections, and any shifts in interagency assessments of regional diplomacy and counterterrorism priorities.