President-elect Trump's anticipated remarks during his planned February 2025 meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba at Mar-a-Lago are driving trader consensus, with odds reflecting expectations of pointed comments on trade imbalances and alliance burdens based on Trump's past criticisms of Japan's auto exports and defense contributions. Recent catalysts include Ishiba's November phone call congratulating Trump and his announcement of an early bilateral summit to strengthen ties amid U.S.-China tensions. Traders weigh Trump's "America First" stance against Ishiba's pledges for fair trade, while upcoming joint statements could shift probabilities on tariffs or security pacts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing geopolitical risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$104,985 Vol.
Japón / japonés 10+ veces
100%
OTAN / Amigo / Aliado 7+ veces
61%
Petrolero / Barco / Bote 5+ veces
8%
Comercio / Arancel 3 o más veces
100%
Biden / Obama 3 o más veces
100%
Excursión / Pirarse
100%
Hiroshima / Nagasaki
3%
Amigo mío
33%
Shinzo / Abe
100%
Kim / Corea
29%
Elección
100%
Mercado de valores
22%
Kamikaze
2%
US Steel
16%
Más candente
21%
Hermoso
100%
Dron
100%
Isla Kharg
16%
Toyota
28%
Furia Épica
15%
Diezmar / Diezmado
22%
Honor
100%
Emperador / Rey
16%
IA / Inteligencia Artificial
18%
$104,985 Vol.
Japón / japonés 10+ veces
100%
OTAN / Amigo / Aliado 7+ veces
61%
Petrolero / Barco / Bote 5+ veces
8%
Comercio / Arancel 3 o más veces
100%
Biden / Obama 3 o más veces
100%
Excursión / Pirarse
100%
Hiroshima / Nagasaki
3%
Amigo mío
33%
Shinzo / Abe
100%
Kim / Corea
29%
Elección
100%
Mercado de valores
22%
Kamikaze
2%
US Steel
16%
Más candente
21%
Hermoso
100%
Dron
100%
Isla Kharg
16%
Toyota
28%
Furia Épica
15%
Diezmar / Diezmado
22%
Honor
100%
Emperador / Rey
16%
IA / Inteligencia Artificial
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Japanese Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, on March 19, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi on March 19, 2026. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's anticipated remarks during his planned February 2025 meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba at Mar-a-Lago are driving trader consensus, with odds reflecting expectations of pointed comments on trade imbalances and alliance burdens based on Trump's past criticisms of Japan's auto exports and defense contributions. Recent catalysts include Ishiba's November phone call congratulating Trump and his announcement of an early bilateral summit to strengthen ties amid U.S.-China tensions. Traders weigh Trump's "America First" stance against Ishiba's pledges for fair trade, while upcoming joint statements could shift probabilities on tariffs or security pacts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing geopolitical risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes