Skip to main content
icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanzas·Negocios

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanzas·Negocios

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$137,544 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$137,544 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$24,820 Vol.

8%

Frontier Airlines

$34,231 Vol.

8%

Allegiant

$32,271 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$15,598 Vol.

3%

Alaska Airlines

$30,624 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High fuel costs remain the dominant pressure on airline margins in mid-2026, with United reporting an average $4.19 per gallon in Q2 and American trimming its full-year adjusted EPS outlook amid the spike. Major carriers posted solid revenue—American’s record $16.7 billion quarterly top line and United’s $17.7 billion—yet elevated jet fuel, labor contracts, and lease obligations continue to squeeze unit economics for smaller and ultra-low-cost operators. Spirit Airlines’ second Chapter 11 filing, followed by its May 2026 liquidation after failing to secure viable restructuring, highlights how quickly liquidity can evaporate when debt exceeds $7 billion and free cash flow turns deeply negative. With eleven carriers having ceased operations year-to-date, traders are watching Q3 earnings releases, fuel-price trajectories, and any further DIP-financing negotiations for signs that additional filings could occur before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$137,544
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High fuel costs remain the dominant pressure on airline margins in mid-2026, with United reporting an average $4.19 per gallon in Q2 and American trimming its full-year adjusted EPS outlook amid the spike. Major carriers posted solid revenue—American’s record $16.7 billion quarterly top line and United’s $17.7 billion—yet elevated jet fuel, labor contracts, and lease obligations continue to squeeze unit economics for smaller and ultra-low-cost operators. Spirit Airlines’ second Chapter 11 filing, followed by its May 2026 liquidation after failing to secure viable restructuring, highlights how quickly liquidity can evaporate when debt exceeds $7 billion and free cash flow turns deeply negative. With eleven carriers having ceased operations year-to-date, traders are watching Q3 earnings releases, fuel-price trajectories, and any further DIP-financing negotiations for signs that additional filings could occur before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$137,544
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for ¿Anunciará Carvana la bancarrota antes de 2027?

¿Anunciará Carvana la bancarrota antes de 2027?

45%
Sí
icon for ¿Anunciará MicroStrategy bancarrota antes de 2027?

¿Anunciará MicroStrategy bancarrota antes de 2027?

4%
Sí
icon for Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

17%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JetBlue" con 8%, seguido de "Frontier Airlines" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 8¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" ha generado $137.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" es "JetBlue" con solo 8%, con "Frontier Airlines" muy cerca con 8%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.