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icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanzas·Negocios

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanzas·Negocios

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$153,077 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$153,077 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$27,526 Vol.

7%

Frontier Airlines

$36,105 Vol.

11%

Allegiant

$38,433 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$18,168 Vol.

2%

Alaska Airlines

$32,844 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East disruptions since early 2026, represent the dominant catalyst pressuring airline balance sheets and shaping trader views on near-term bankruptcy risk. Spirit Airlines completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, while airBaltic entered U.S. Chapter 11 proceedings on September 14 amid liquidity shortfalls, engine shortages, and roughly €584 million in funded debt. Ultra-low-cost carriers such as JetBlue and Frontier face elevated vulnerability given CCC+ ratings, multi-billion debt loads, and 2026 maturities, contrasting with legacy carriers' stronger premium revenue and liquidity buffers. Industry net margins have compressed sharply to around 2 percent, per IATA projections, with key earnings releases and fuel price trajectories through year-end likely to influence any additional filings before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$153,077
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East disruptions since early 2026, represent the dominant catalyst pressuring airline balance sheets and shaping trader views on near-term bankruptcy risk. Spirit Airlines completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, while airBaltic entered U.S. Chapter 11 proceedings on September 14 amid liquidity shortfalls, engine shortages, and roughly €584 million in funded debt. Ultra-low-cost carriers such as JetBlue and Frontier face elevated vulnerability given CCC+ ratings, multi-billion debt loads, and 2026 maturities, contrasting with legacy carriers' stronger premium revenue and liquidity buffers. Industry net margins have compressed sharply to around 2 percent, per IATA projections, with key earnings releases and fuel price trajectories through year-end likely to influence any additional filings before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$153,077
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Frontier Airlines" con 11%, seguido de "JetBlue" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" ha generado $153.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" es "Frontier Airlines" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "JetBlue" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.