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Política·Menciones

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
Política·Menciones

Who will Trump name in April?

NUEVO
30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$773 Vol.

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$144 Vol.

97%

Newsom / Newscum

$53 Vol.

88%

Delcy

$36 Vol.

72%

Caine

$7 Vol.

71%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$120 Vol.

83%

Maduro

$5 Vol.

66%

Keir / Starmer

$38 Vol.

80%

Emmanuel / Macron

$3 Vol.

78%

Kushner

$36 Vol.

77%

Kamala

$13 Vol.

77%

Homan

$60 Vol.

73%

Warsh

$3 Vol.

68%

Gianni / Infantino

$102 Vol.

68%

Oz

$0 Vol.

67%

Ilhan / Omar

$6 Vol.

75%

Schumer

$0 Vol.

59%

Castro

$0 Vol.

54%

Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

54%

Massie

$0 Vol.

54%

Leavitt

$0 Vol.

53%

Elon / Musk

$0 Vol.

53%

Leo XIV / Pope

$0 Vol.

52%

Friedrich / Merz

$0 Vol.

51%

Zohran / Mamdani

$45 Vol.

63%

Warren / Pocahontas

$88 Vol.

51%

Bush

$0 Vol.

50%

Bernie

$0 Vol.

47%

Machado

$0 Vol.

46%

Hillary

$0 Vol.

45%

Paxton

$0 Vol.

44%

Kavanaugh

$0 Vol.

43%

Talarico

$0 Vol.

42%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 Vol.

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 Vol.

38%

Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

34%

Zuckerberg

$7 Vol.

39%

Viktor / Orbán

$6 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$773
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$773
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will Trump name in April?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 37 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Netanyahu" con 97%, seguido de "Newsom / Newscum" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Who will Trump name in April?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Who will Trump name in April?", explora los 37 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will Trump name in April?" es "Netanyahu" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Newsom / Newscum" con 88%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will Trump name in April?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.