Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and party discipline campaign has driven extensive high-level turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee, with multiple Central Military Commission members investigated or removed in 2025–2026, including recent formal actions against Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli. The purge reached Xi’s inner circle in early September 2026 when longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost his National People’s Congress seat alongside other officials. Party authorities have flagged further expulsions of more than 40 Central Committee members at the Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026, amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These moves coincide with preparations for the 2027 Party Congress and the PLA’s centenary, where loyalty enforcement and leadership reconstitution remain central priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$211,136 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
11%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
3%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$211,136 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,751 Vol.
11%
Zhang Shengmin
$30,008 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$11,674 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$49,413 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,189 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,098 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,739 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$29,232 Vol.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and party discipline campaign has driven extensive high-level turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee, with multiple Central Military Commission members investigated or removed in 2025–2026, including recent formal actions against Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli. The purge reached Xi’s inner circle in early September 2026 when longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost his National People’s Congress seat alongside other officials. Party authorities have flagged further expulsions of more than 40 Central Committee members at the Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026, amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These moves coincide with preparations for the 2027 Party Congress and the PLA’s centenary, where loyalty enforcement and leadership reconstitution remain central priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$211,136Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and party discipline campaign has driven extensive high-level turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee, with multiple Central Military Commission members investigated or removed in 2025–2026, including recent formal actions against Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli. The purge reached Xi’s inner circle in early September 2026 when longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost his National People’s Congress seat alongside other officials. Party authorities have flagged further expulsions of more than 40 Central Committee members at the Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026, amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These moves coincide with preparations for the 2027 Party Congress and the PLA’s centenary, where loyalty enforcement and leadership reconstitution remain central priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$211,136Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and party discipline campaign has driven extensive high-level turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee, with multiple Central Military Commission members investigated or removed in 2025–2026, including recent formal actions against Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli. The purge reached Xi’s inner circle in early September 2026 when longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost his National People’s Congress seat alongside other officials. Party authorities have flagged further expulsions of more than 40 Central Committee members at the Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026, amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These moves coincide with preparations for the 2027 Party Congress and the PLA’s centenary, where loyalty enforcement and leadership reconstitution remain central priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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