Xi Jinping’s position as General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, state president, and chairman of the Central Military Commission remains firmly entrenched through 2026, with no scheduled leadership transition until the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Recent military personnel adjustments and purges have aligned senior ranks more closely with his priorities rather than signaling opposition, while ongoing public appearances, policy addresses, and diplomatic engagements demonstrate continuity in authority. Traders assign a 95.5 percent probability to “No” because major shifts in Chinese leadership have historically aligned with party congresses rather than abrupt removals, and visible factional challenges or health signals capable of forcing an earlier exit remain absent. Low-probability disruptions could still arise from a sudden medical event or an acute economic or external crisis that prompts elite realignment before the end of 2026.