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icon for ¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?

¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?

¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$165,521 Vol.

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$165,521 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including alleged corruption, factionalism, and resistance to Xi Jinping’s 2027 military modernization targets. Official announcements and PLA Daily editorials framed the case as undermining party control of the armed forces. In late August 2026, the NPC Standing Committee formally removed him from CMC and legislative posts, completing his purge from power alongside Liu Zhenli and leaving the CMC with only two listed members. No public trial, formal charges, or sentencing has occurred in the nine months since the investigation began. With roughly three and a half months remaining before 2027 and typical timelines for elite military cases, traders view a prison sentence by the deadline as unlikely. The ongoing anti-corruption campaign and consolidation of Xi’s authority over the PLA continue to shape expectations around any eventual legal resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$165,521
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including alleged corruption, factionalism, and resistance to Xi Jinping’s 2027 military modernization targets. Official announcements and PLA Daily editorials framed the case as undermining party control of the armed forces. In late August 2026, the NPC Standing Committee formally removed him from CMC and legislative posts, completing his purge from power alongside Liu Zhenli and leaving the CMC with only two listed members. No public trial, formal charges, or sentencing has occurred in the nine months since the investigation began. With roughly three and a half months remaining before 2027 and typical timelines for elite military cases, traders view a prison sentence by the deadline as unlikely. The ongoing anti-corruption campaign and consolidation of Xi’s authority over the PLA continue to shape expectations around any eventual legal resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$165,521
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Zhang Youxia será condenado a prisión antes de 2027?" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?" ha generado $165.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?" es "¿Zhang Youxia será condenado a prisión antes de 2027?" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Zhang Youxia sentenciado a prisión antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.