China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 46%
0.6 – 1.0% 36%
1.6 – 2.0% 4.0%
0.1 – 0.5% 3.2%
$45,613 Vol.
$45,613 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1.0%
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
36%
1.1 – 1.5%
46%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
3%
2.5%+
2%
1.1 – 1.5% 46%
0.6 – 1.0% 36%
1.6 – 2.0% 4.0%
0.1 – 0.5% 3.2%
$45,613 Vol.
$45,613 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1.0%
$18,965 Vol.
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,730 Vol.
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$3,800 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$3,027 Vol.
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
$3,437 Vol.
36%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,728 Vol.
46%
1.6 – 2.0%
$4,272 Vol.
4%
2.0-2.4%
$3,009 Vol.
3%
2.5%+
$2,645 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volumen
$45,613Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volumen
$45,613Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes