Recent July 2026 ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus forecasts, combined with mixed sub-index readings—strong new orders and business activity offset by employment contraction—have produced evenly distributed market-implied odds across multiple ranges for the August release. Persistent concerns over inflation, mortgage rates, and petroleum-driven price pressures, alongside resilient services activity and reduced tariff mentions, sustain trader uncertainty ahead of the early-September report. Broader labor market trends and any shifts in the Prices Index near 70 will likely serve as key swing factors influencing the final print.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<50.0 27%
56.0–56.9 27%
57.0–57.9 27%
51.0–51.9 26%
<50.0
27%
50.0–50.9
21%
51.0–51.9
26%
52.0–52.9
24%
53.0–53.9
26%
54.0–54.9
24%
55.0–55.9
23%
56.0–56.9
27%
57.0–57.9
27%
58.0+
25%
<50.0 27%
56.0–56.9 27%
57.0–57.9 27%
51.0–51.9 26%
<50.0
27%
50.0–50.9
21%
51.0–51.9
26%
52.0–52.9
24%
53.0–53.9
26%
54.0–54.9
24%
55.0–55.9
23%
56.0–56.9
27%
57.0–57.9
27%
58.0+
25%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus forecasts, combined with mixed sub-index readings—strong new orders and business activity offset by employment contraction—have produced evenly distributed market-implied odds across multiple ranges for the August release. Persistent concerns over inflation, mortgage rates, and petroleum-driven price pressures, alongside resilient services activity and reduced tariff mentions, sustain trader uncertainty ahead of the early-September report. Broader labor market trends and any shifts in the Prices Index near 70 will likely serve as key swing factors influencing the final print.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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