Recent June 2026 CPI data showed a sharp -0.4% MoM decline, the largest since 2020, driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices amid easing geopolitical tensions, which pulled headline inflation to 3.5% YoY and core to 2.6%. This surprise disinflation, following May's +0.5% MoM print, has shaped trader positioning for July, with markets assigning a 64.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% MoM outcome as energy components stabilize and shelter costs continue their gradual moderation. The Federal Reserve's July 29 statement underscored persistent elevation above the 2% target despite the data, holding the funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and noting supply-side pressures. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, these dynamics highlight how base effects and commodity rebounds could support a modest reacceleration from June's outlier print.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≥0,1% 65%
0,0 % 28%
-0,1% 4.5%
-0,2% <1%
$80,175 Vol.
$80,175 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤-0,7%
<1%
-0,6%
<1%
-0,5%
<1%
-0,4%
<1%
-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
1%
-0,1%
5%
0,0 %
28%
≥0,1%
65%
≥0,1% 65%
0,0 % 28%
-0,1% 4.5%
-0,2% <1%
$80,175 Vol.
$80,175 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤-0,7%
$3,527 Vol.
<1%
-0,6%
$1,283 Vol.
<1%
-0,5%
$1,314 Vol.
<1%
-0,4%
$1,356 Vol.
<1%
-0,3%
$1,549 Vol.
<1%
-0,2%
$1,814 Vol.
1%
-0,1%
$3,522 Vol.
5%
0,0 %
$15,524 Vol.
28%
≥0,1%
$50,286 Vol.
65%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data showed a sharp -0.4% MoM decline, the largest since 2020, driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices amid easing geopolitical tensions, which pulled headline inflation to 3.5% YoY and core to 2.6%. This surprise disinflation, following May's +0.5% MoM print, has shaped trader positioning for July, with markets assigning a 64.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% MoM outcome as energy components stabilize and shelter costs continue their gradual moderation. The Federal Reserve's July 29 statement underscored persistent elevation above the 2% target despite the data, holding the funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and noting supply-side pressures. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, these dynamics highlight how base effects and commodity rebounds could support a modest reacceleration from June's outlier print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volumen
$80,175Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data showed a sharp -0.4% MoM decline, the largest since 2020, driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices amid easing geopolitical tensions, which pulled headline inflation to 3.5% YoY and core to 2.6%. This surprise disinflation, following May's +0.5% MoM print, has shaped trader positioning for July, with markets assigning a 64.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% MoM outcome as energy components stabilize and shelter costs continue their gradual moderation. The Federal Reserve's July 29 statement underscored persistent elevation above the 2% target despite the data, holding the funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and noting supply-side pressures. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, these dynamics highlight how base effects and commodity rebounds could support a modest reacceleration from June's outlier print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$80,175Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 CPI data showed a sharp -0.4% MoM decline, the largest since 2020, driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices amid easing geopolitical tensions, which pulled headline inflation to 3.5% YoY and core to 2.6%. This surprise disinflation, following May's +0.5% MoM print, has shaped trader positioning for July, with markets assigning a 64.5% implied probability to a ≥0.1% MoM outcome as energy components stabilize and shelter costs continue their gradual moderation. The Federal Reserve's July 29 statement underscored persistent elevation above the 2% target despite the data, holding the funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and noting supply-side pressures. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, these dynamics highlight how base effects and commodity rebounds could support a modest reacceleration from June's outlier print.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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