South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects persistent supply-side pressures from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, which pushed headline CPI to a two-year high of 3.2% in June. A weaker won has amplified imported cost pass-through into transport, food, and raw materials, while recovering domestic demand and fiscal stimulus add modest demand-side lift. Official projections anchor expectations, with the Bank of Korea forecasting 2.7% headline inflation and the Ministry of Economy and Finance at 2.6% after upward revisions; the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75% signals efforts to contain risks above the 2% target. These factors position the 2.7–2.9% range as the market-implied leader, with upside potential if energy prices or currency weakness persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,7% a 2,9% 37.9%
3,0%+ 26%
2,4% a 2,6% 21.4%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.6%
$21,283 Vol.
$21,283 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
12%
2,4% a 2,6%
21%
2,7% a 2,9%
38%
3,0%+
26%
2,7% a 2,9% 37.9%
3,0%+ 26%
2,4% a 2,6% 21.4%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.6%
$21,283 Vol.
$21,283 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$1,909 Vol.
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
$1,701 Vol.
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
$882 Vol.
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
$2,728 Vol.
12%
2,4% a 2,6%
$1,038 Vol.
21%
2,7% a 2,9%
$2,897 Vol.
38%
3,0%+
$10,127 Vol.
26%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects persistent supply-side pressures from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, which pushed headline CPI to a two-year high of 3.2% in June. A weaker won has amplified imported cost pass-through into transport, food, and raw materials, while recovering domestic demand and fiscal stimulus add modest demand-side lift. Official projections anchor expectations, with the Bank of Korea forecasting 2.7% headline inflation and the Ministry of Economy and Finance at 2.6% after upward revisions; the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75% signals efforts to contain risks above the 2% target. These factors position the 2.7–2.9% range as the market-implied leader, with upside potential if energy prices or currency weakness persist.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$21,283Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects persistent supply-side pressures from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, which pushed headline CPI to a two-year high of 3.2% in June. A weaker won has amplified imported cost pass-through into transport, food, and raw materials, while recovering domestic demand and fiscal stimulus add modest demand-side lift. Official projections anchor expectations, with the Bank of Korea forecasting 2.7% headline inflation and the Ministry of Economy and Finance at 2.6% after upward revisions; the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75% signals efforts to contain risks above the 2% target. These factors position the 2.7–2.9% range as the market-implied leader, with upside potential if energy prices or currency weakness persist.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$21,283Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects persistent supply-side pressures from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, which pushed headline CPI to a two-year high of 3.2% in June. A weaker won has amplified imported cost pass-through into transport, food, and raw materials, while recovering domestic demand and fiscal stimulus add modest demand-side lift. Official projections anchor expectations, with the Bank of Korea forecasting 2.7% headline inflation and the Ministry of Economy and Finance at 2.6% after upward revisions; the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75% signals efforts to contain risks above the 2% target. These factors position the 2.7–2.9% range as the market-implied leader, with upside potential if energy prices or currency weakness persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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