Recent upward revisions to official South Korean inflation forecasts, with the Ministry of Economy and Finance lifting its 2026 consumer price projection to 2.6% and the Bank of Korea now expecting 2.7%, reflect persistent upside pressures from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East developments and a weaker won. June 2026 CPI printed at 3.2% year-over-year, the highest since late 2023 and well above the 2% target, supporting the July rate hike to 2.75%. These factors create a tight contest between the 2.4–2.6% and 2.7–2.9% annual average bins, with differentiation hinging on the pace of oil price moderation, KRW stability, and any further monetary tightening ahead of remaining 2026 data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,4% a 2,6% 34.4%
2,7% a 2,9% 33.5%
3,0%+ 22%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.3%
$24,636 Vol.
$24,636 Vol.
<1,5%
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
1%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
11%
2,4% a 2,6%
34%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
22%
2,4% a 2,6% 34.4%
2,7% a 2,9% 33.5%
3,0%+ 22%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.3%
$24,636 Vol.
$24,636 Vol.
<1,5%
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
1%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
11%
2,4% a 2,6%
34%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
22%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to official South Korean inflation forecasts, with the Ministry of Economy and Finance lifting its 2026 consumer price projection to 2.6% and the Bank of Korea now expecting 2.7%, reflect persistent upside pressures from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East developments and a weaker won. June 2026 CPI printed at 3.2% year-over-year, the highest since late 2023 and well above the 2% target, supporting the July rate hike to 2.75%. These factors create a tight contest between the 2.4–2.6% and 2.7–2.9% annual average bins, with differentiation hinging on the pace of oil price moderation, KRW stability, and any further monetary tightening ahead of remaining 2026 data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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