Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a moderation to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's full-year inflation near the Bank of Korea's 2.7% forecast. Persistent upward pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and pass-through from energy and agricultural costs continue to support the 2.7–2.9% band as the modal outcome at 53.1% implied probability. Official revisions raising the 2026 inflation projection to 2.6% and core readings at multi-year highs reinforce this positioning, while the central bank's July rate hike signals vigilance above the 2% target. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and monetary policy decisions through year-end represent key catalysts that could shift the distribution among narrower ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,7% a 2,9% 53.1%
2,4% a 2,6% 30.3%
3,0%+ 9.8%
2,1% a 2,3% 5.0%
$28,821 Vol.
$28,821 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
3%
1,8% a 2,0%
3%
2,1% a 2,3%
5%
2,4% a 2,6%
30%
2,7% a 2,9%
53%
3,0%+
10%
2,7% a 2,9% 53.1%
2,4% a 2,6% 30.3%
3,0%+ 9.8%
2,1% a 2,3% 5.0%
$28,821 Vol.
$28,821 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$2,393 Vol.
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
$2,245 Vol.
3%
1,8% a 2,0%
$1,421 Vol.
3%
2,1% a 2,3%
$3,600 Vol.
5%
2,4% a 2,6%
$4,137 Vol.
30%
2,7% a 2,9%
$4,068 Vol.
53%
3,0%+
$10,957 Vol.
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a moderation to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's full-year inflation near the Bank of Korea's 2.7% forecast. Persistent upward pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and pass-through from energy and agricultural costs continue to support the 2.7–2.9% band as the modal outcome at 53.1% implied probability. Official revisions raising the 2026 inflation projection to 2.6% and core readings at multi-year highs reinforce this positioning, while the central bank's July rate hike signals vigilance above the 2% target. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and monetary policy decisions through year-end represent key catalysts that could shift the distribution among narrower ranges.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$28,821Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a moderation to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's full-year inflation near the Bank of Korea's 2.7% forecast. Persistent upward pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and pass-through from energy and agricultural costs continue to support the 2.7–2.9% band as the modal outcome at 53.1% implied probability. Official revisions raising the 2026 inflation projection to 2.6% and core readings at multi-year highs reinforce this positioning, while the central bank's July rate hike signals vigilance above the 2% target. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and monetary policy decisions through year-end represent key catalysts that could shift the distribution among narrower ranges.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$28,821Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a moderation to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's full-year inflation near the Bank of Korea's 2.7% forecast. Persistent upward pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and pass-through from energy and agricultural costs continue to support the 2.7–2.9% band as the modal outcome at 53.1% implied probability. Official revisions raising the 2026 inflation projection to 2.6% and core readings at multi-year highs reinforce this positioning, while the central bank's July rate hike signals vigilance above the 2% target. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and monetary policy decisions through year-end represent key catalysts that could shift the distribution among narrower ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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