South Korea’s annual inflation trajectory for 2026 remains closely contested in prediction markets, with outcomes clustered between 2.4% and 3.0%+. The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.0%—its second consecutive increase—reflects persistent pressures above the 2% target, as July headline CPI eased to 2.8% while core inflation rose to 2.6%. Upgraded 2026 GDP growth to 3.3% on AI-driven semiconductor exports is intensifying demand-side risks alongside lingering cost pass-through from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions. The central bank held its 2.7% inflation forecast unchanged but lifted core projections, signaling that further data on household demand, oil prices, and monetary tightening will determine whether outcomes settle nearer the 2.7–2.9% band or shift lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 27.5%
2,4% a 2,6% 26.5%
2,1% a 2,3% 7.4%
$32,981 Vol.
$32,981 Vol.
30 dic 2026
<1,5%
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
5%
1,8% a 2,0%
3%
2,1% a 2,3%
7%
2,4% a 2,6%
27%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
28%
2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 27.5%
2,4% a 2,6% 26.5%
2,1% a 2,3% 7.4%
$32,981 Vol.
$32,981 Vol.
30 dic 2026
<1,5%
$2,708 Vol.
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
$2,835 Vol.
5%
1,8% a 2,0%
$1,714 Vol.
3%
2,1% a 2,3%
$4,106 Vol.
7%
2,4% a 2,6%
$4,827 Vol.
27%
2,7% a 2,9%
$5,126 Vol.
33%
3,0%+
$11,664 Vol.
28%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s annual inflation trajectory for 2026 remains closely contested in prediction markets, with outcomes clustered between 2.4% and 3.0%+. The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.0%—its second consecutive increase—reflects persistent pressures above the 2% target, as July headline CPI eased to 2.8% while core inflation rose to 2.6%. Upgraded 2026 GDP growth to 3.3% on AI-driven semiconductor exports is intensifying demand-side risks alongside lingering cost pass-through from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions. The central bank held its 2.7% inflation forecast unchanged but lifted core projections, signaling that further data on household demand, oil prices, and monetary tightening will determine whether outcomes settle nearer the 2.7–2.9% band or shift lower.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$32,981Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s annual inflation trajectory for 2026 remains closely contested in prediction markets, with outcomes clustered between 2.4% and 3.0%+. The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.0%—its second consecutive increase—reflects persistent pressures above the 2% target, as July headline CPI eased to 2.8% while core inflation rose to 2.6%. Upgraded 2026 GDP growth to 3.3% on AI-driven semiconductor exports is intensifying demand-side risks alongside lingering cost pass-through from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions. The central bank held its 2.7% inflation forecast unchanged but lifted core projections, signaling that further data on household demand, oil prices, and monetary tightening will determine whether outcomes settle nearer the 2.7–2.9% band or shift lower.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$32,981Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s annual inflation trajectory for 2026 remains closely contested in prediction markets, with outcomes clustered between 2.4% and 3.0%+. The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.0%—its second consecutive increase—reflects persistent pressures above the 2% target, as July headline CPI eased to 2.8% while core inflation rose to 2.6%. Upgraded 2026 GDP growth to 3.3% on AI-driven semiconductor exports is intensifying demand-side risks alongside lingering cost pass-through from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions. The central bank held its 2.7% inflation forecast unchanged but lifted core projections, signaling that further data on household demand, oil prices, and monetary tightening will determine whether outcomes settle nearer the 2.7–2.9% band or shift lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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