Recent monthly inflation prints near 1.9-2.1% have sustained Argentina's disinflation trajectory under fiscal consolidation and crawling-band exchange-rate policy, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8%. Analyst surveys now project a 29.8% year-end 2026 print, down from prior estimates, while IMF and OECD outlooks cluster around 30-31%. These figures place the closely matched 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets at the center of trader pricing, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over residual inertia, seasonal winter effects, and reserve accumulation. August CPI data and any adjustments to monetary guidance represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado30.0-34.9% 52.3%
25-29,9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
20-24,9% 1.8%
$42,533 Vol.
$42,533 Vol.
9 ene 2027
<20%
2%
20-24,9%
2%
25-29,9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44,9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 52.3%
25-29,9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
20-24,9% 1.8%
$42,533 Vol.
$42,533 Vol.
9 ene 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24,9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29,9%
$12,514 Vol.
45%
30.0-34.9%
$11,794 Vol.
52%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44,9%
$3,553 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints near 1.9-2.1% have sustained Argentina's disinflation trajectory under fiscal consolidation and crawling-band exchange-rate policy, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8%. Analyst surveys now project a 29.8% year-end 2026 print, down from prior estimates, while IMF and OECD outlooks cluster around 30-31%. These figures place the closely matched 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets at the center of trader pricing, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over residual inertia, seasonal winter effects, and reserve accumulation. August CPI data and any adjustments to monetary guidance represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volumen
$42,533Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints near 1.9-2.1% have sustained Argentina's disinflation trajectory under fiscal consolidation and crawling-band exchange-rate policy, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8%. Analyst surveys now project a 29.8% year-end 2026 print, down from prior estimates, while IMF and OECD outlooks cluster around 30-31%. These figures place the closely matched 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets at the center of trader pricing, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over residual inertia, seasonal winter effects, and reserve accumulation. August CPI data and any adjustments to monetary guidance represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$42,533Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation prints near 1.9-2.1% have sustained Argentina's disinflation trajectory under fiscal consolidation and crawling-band exchange-rate policy, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8%. Analyst surveys now project a 29.8% year-end 2026 print, down from prior estimates, while IMF and OECD outlooks cluster around 30-31%. These figures place the closely matched 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% buckets at the center of trader pricing, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over residual inertia, seasonal winter effects, and reserve accumulation. August CPI data and any adjustments to monetary guidance represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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