Argentina’s ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and exchange-rate band adjustments continues to anchor trader expectations for August 2026 monthly CPI. July’s 2.1% reading, up modestly from June’s 1.9% amid winter seasonal effects yet still near recent lows, reinforces the 1.8-2.0% interval as the market’s clearest consensus at 55.2% implied probability. Broader annual forecasts have edged lower to around 29-30% for year-end 2026, reflecting sustained primary surpluses and contained pass-through from recent peso movements. With the August print due mid-September, the 1.5-1.7% and 2.1-2.3% bands capture residual uncertainty around seasonal and regulated-price components, while tail outcomes remain lightly priced given the absence of fresh shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación Mensual Argentina - Agosto
Inflación Mensual Argentina - Agosto
1.8-2.0% 55.2%
1,5-1,7% 30.7%
2,1-2,3% 12.2%
≤1,1% <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
≤1,1%
1%
1,2-1,4%
1%
1,5-1,7%
31%
1.8-2.0%
55%
2,1-2,3%
12%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2,7-2,9%
1%
3,0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 55.2%
1,5-1,7% 30.7%
2,1-2,3% 12.2%
≤1,1% <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
≤1,1%
$282 Vol.
1%
1,2-1,4%
$275 Vol.
1%
1,5-1,7%
$1,875 Vol.
31%
1.8-2.0%
$2,526 Vol.
55%
2,1-2,3%
$687 Vol.
12%
2.4-2.6%
$275 Vol.
1%
2,7-2,9%
$275 Vol.
1%
3,0%+
$275 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and exchange-rate band adjustments continues to anchor trader expectations for August 2026 monthly CPI. July’s 2.1% reading, up modestly from June’s 1.9% amid winter seasonal effects yet still near recent lows, reinforces the 1.8-2.0% interval as the market’s clearest consensus at 55.2% implied probability. Broader annual forecasts have edged lower to around 29-30% for year-end 2026, reflecting sustained primary surpluses and contained pass-through from recent peso movements. With the August print due mid-September, the 1.5-1.7% and 2.1-2.3% bands capture residual uncertainty around seasonal and regulated-price components, while tail outcomes remain lightly priced given the absence of fresh shocks.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volumen
$6,469Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and exchange-rate band adjustments continues to anchor trader expectations for August 2026 monthly CPI. July’s 2.1% reading, up modestly from June’s 1.9% amid winter seasonal effects yet still near recent lows, reinforces the 1.8-2.0% interval as the market’s clearest consensus at 55.2% implied probability. Broader annual forecasts have edged lower to around 29-30% for year-end 2026, reflecting sustained primary surpluses and contained pass-through from recent peso movements. With the August print due mid-September, the 1.5-1.7% and 2.1-2.3% bands capture residual uncertainty around seasonal and regulated-price components, while tail outcomes remain lightly priced given the absence of fresh shocks.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$6,469Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and exchange-rate band adjustments continues to anchor trader expectations for August 2026 monthly CPI. July’s 2.1% reading, up modestly from June’s 1.9% amid winter seasonal effects yet still near recent lows, reinforces the 1.8-2.0% interval as the market’s clearest consensus at 55.2% implied probability. Broader annual forecasts have edged lower to around 29-30% for year-end 2026, reflecting sustained primary surpluses and contained pass-through from recent peso movements. With the August print due mid-September, the 1.5-1.7% and 2.1-2.3% bands capture residual uncertainty around seasonal and regulated-price components, while tail outcomes remain lightly priced given the absence of fresh shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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