Tight cattle inventories, at their lowest since 1951 according to the latest USDA report, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction from prior drought and high feed costs. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further to 25.547 billion pounds, with non-fed slaughter tight and lean processing supplies constrained, pushing retail ground beef to $6.899 per pound in April 2026—up over 14% year-over-year. Strong consumer demand has sustained these levels despite affordability pressures, while increased imports of lean beef provide only partial offset. Modest price gains are projected for wholesale beef (up 6.9%) and fed cattle (averaging $224–$240 per cwt), with resolution hinging on 2026 slaughter pace and any weather-driven supply shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La carne molida llegará a __ en 2026?
$19,258 Vol.
$7.000+
75%
$8.000+
50%
$9.000+
48%
$10.000+
26%
$19,258 Vol.
$7.000+
75%
$8.000+
50%
$9.000+
48%
$10.000+
26%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle inventories, at their lowest since 1951 according to the latest USDA report, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction from prior drought and high feed costs. USDA forecasts show 2026 beef production declining further to 25.547 billion pounds, with non-fed slaughter tight and lean processing supplies constrained, pushing retail ground beef to $6.899 per pound in April 2026—up over 14% year-over-year. Strong consumer demand has sustained these levels despite affordability pressures, while increased imports of lean beef provide only partial offset. Modest price gains are projected for wholesale beef (up 6.9%) and fed cattle (averaging $224–$240 per cwt), with resolution hinging on 2026 slaughter pace and any weather-driven supply shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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