Recent June 2026 PPI data, showing a 5.5% YoY rise below the 6.2% consensus forecast and a 0.3% MoM decline driven by sharp drops in energy and goods prices, anchors trader expectations for July. Market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or below 5.2%, reflecting the momentum from lower wholesale costs and the prior month's downward revision. With the July reading scheduled for August 13, attention centers on whether energy price volatility and softening input costs sustain this trajectory or if services inflation reaccelerates. These probabilities aggregate real-capital bets on the latest upstream inflation path amid broader cooling signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≤5,1% 56%
5,2% 31%
6,0%+ 7%
5,3% 6.0%
≤5,1%
56%
5,2%
31%
5,3%
6%
5,4%
4%
5,5%
1%
5,6%
2%
5,7%
6%
5,8%
3%
5,9%
3%
6,0%+
7%
≤5,1% 56%
5,2% 31%
6,0%+ 7%
5,3% 6.0%
≤5,1%
56%
5,2%
31%
5,3%
6%
5,4%
4%
5,5%
1%
5,6%
2%
5,7%
6%
5,8%
3%
5,9%
3%
6,0%+
7%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 PPI data, showing a 5.5% YoY rise below the 6.2% consensus forecast and a 0.3% MoM decline driven by sharp drops in energy and goods prices, anchors trader expectations for July. Market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or below 5.2%, reflecting the momentum from lower wholesale costs and the prior month's downward revision. With the July reading scheduled for August 13, attention centers on whether energy price volatility and softening input costs sustain this trajectory or if services inflation reaccelerates. These probabilities aggregate real-capital bets on the latest upstream inflation path amid broader cooling signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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