Recent euro area Q2 GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, beating consensus, alongside a provisional Iran-US ceasefire that has eased energy prices, underpins the tight market-implied odds favoring 0.8-1.1% or 0.4-0.7% growth in Q3. July inflation at 2.9% and the ECB’s June 25-basis-point hike to a 2.40% deposit rate, followed by a July hold, reflect persistent but moderating price pressures that could temper domestic demand. Stable 6.3% unemployment and soft PMI readings highlight mixed momentum, while the next ECB meeting on 10 September and incoming high-frequency data remain key swing factors for trader positioning around these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.8-1.1% 41%
0.4-0.7% 31%
1.2-1.5% 14%
1.6-1.9% 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
3%
0.0-0.3%
9%
0.4-0.7%
31%
0.8-1.1%
41%
1.2-1.5%
14%
1.6-1.9%
9%
2.0%+
7%
0.8-1.1% 41%
0.4-0.7% 31%
1.2-1.5% 14%
1.6-1.9% 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
$40 Vol.
3%
0.0-0.3%
$40 Vol.
9%
0.4-0.7%
$100 Vol.
31%
0.8-1.1%
$7,738 Vol.
41%
1.2-1.5%
$151 Vol.
14%
1.6-1.9%
$81 Vol.
9%
2.0%+
$40 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area Q2 GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, beating consensus, alongside a provisional Iran-US ceasefire that has eased energy prices, underpins the tight market-implied odds favoring 0.8-1.1% or 0.4-0.7% growth in Q3. July inflation at 2.9% and the ECB’s June 25-basis-point hike to a 2.40% deposit rate, followed by a July hold, reflect persistent but moderating price pressures that could temper domestic demand. Stable 6.3% unemployment and soft PMI readings highlight mixed momentum, while the next ECB meeting on 10 September and incoming high-frequency data remain key swing factors for trader positioning around these ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$8,190Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area Q2 GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, beating consensus, alongside a provisional Iran-US ceasefire that has eased energy prices, underpins the tight market-implied odds favoring 0.8-1.1% or 0.4-0.7% growth in Q3. July inflation at 2.9% and the ECB’s June 25-basis-point hike to a 2.40% deposit rate, followed by a July hold, reflect persistent but moderating price pressures that could temper domestic demand. Stable 6.3% unemployment and soft PMI readings highlight mixed momentum, while the next ECB meeting on 10 September and incoming high-frequency data remain key swing factors for trader positioning around these ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,190Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent euro area Q2 GDP expansion of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, beating consensus, alongside a provisional Iran-US ceasefire that has eased energy prices, underpins the tight market-implied odds favoring 0.8-1.1% or 0.4-0.7% growth in Q3. July inflation at 2.9% and the ECB’s June 25-basis-point hike to a 2.40% deposit rate, followed by a July hold, reflect persistent but moderating price pressures that could temper domestic demand. Stable 6.3% unemployment and soft PMI readings highlight mixed momentum, while the next ECB meeting on 10 September and incoming high-frequency data remain key swing factors for trader positioning around these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes