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Geopolítica·Oriente Medio

¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Oriente Medio

¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

ago 31

dic 31

ago 31

dic 31

Sí

32% probabilidad
Polymarket

$261,520 Vol.

Sí

32% probabilidad
Polymarket

$261,520 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Regional diplomatic momentum has slowed amid the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict and related proxy tensions, limiting prospects for additional signatories by the end of 2026. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet major Arab candidates such as Saudi Arabia remain stalled despite repeated U.S. pressure and linkage to nuclear cooperation talks. Saudi officials have signaled interest tied to Palestinian issues and security guarantees, but no bilateral agreement has advanced, and Trump administration calls for mandatory inclusion in any Iran settlement have drawn limited regional uptake. With roughly five months left before 2027 and no scheduled breakthroughs in normalization talks or legislative steps, traders assess the window as too narrow for another accession.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$261,520
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Regional diplomatic momentum has slowed amid the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict and related proxy tensions, limiting prospects for additional signatories by the end of 2026. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, yet major Arab candidates such as Saudi Arabia remain stalled despite repeated U.S. pressure and linkage to nuclear cooperation talks. Saudi officials have signaled interest tied to Palestinian issues and security guarantees, but no bilateral agreement has advanced, and Trump administration calls for mandatory inclusion in any Iran settlement have drawn limited regional uptake. With roughly five months left before 2027 and no scheduled breakthroughs in normalization talks or legislative steps, traders assess the window as too narrow for another accession.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$261,520
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 32¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $261.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" con 32%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Se unirá un nuevo país a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.