Supply chain reports from Foxconn and component makers indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the 86% market-implied probability of a pre-2027 launch. Recent July updates confirm peak production without delays, with targets raised to roughly 10 million units and software groundwork visible in iOS 27 for multi-display support. While earlier rumors highlighted manufacturing hurdles around the book-style hinge and ultra-thin glass, Bloomberg and Nikkei sourcing has largely rebutted major slips. The September event and any final yield checks stand as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in or briefly test the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
86% probabilidad
$277,191 Vol.
$277,191 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
86% probabilidad
$277,191 Vol.
$277,191 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supply chain reports from Foxconn and component makers indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the 86% market-implied probability of a pre-2027 launch. Recent July updates confirm peak production without delays, with targets raised to roughly 10 million units and software groundwork visible in iOS 27 for multi-display support. While earlier rumors highlighted manufacturing hurdles around the book-style hinge and ultra-thin glass, Bloomberg and Nikkei sourcing has largely rebutted major slips. The September event and any final yield checks stand as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in or briefly test the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$277,191Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supply chain reports from Foxconn and component makers indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the 86% market-implied probability of a pre-2027 launch. Recent July updates confirm peak production without delays, with targets raised to roughly 10 million units and software groundwork visible in iOS 27 for multi-display support. While earlier rumors highlighted manufacturing hurdles around the book-style hinge and ultra-thin glass, Bloomberg and Nikkei sourcing has largely rebutted major slips. The September event and any final yield checks stand as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in or briefly test the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$277,191Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supply chain reports from Foxconn and component makers indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the 86% market-implied probability of a pre-2027 launch. Recent July updates confirm peak production without delays, with targets raised to roughly 10 million units and software groundwork visible in iOS 27 for multi-display support. While earlier rumors highlighted manufacturing hurdles around the book-style hinge and ultra-thin glass, Bloomberg and Nikkei sourcing has largely rebutted major slips. The September event and any final yield checks stand as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in or briefly test the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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