US-Iran hostilities that began with February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites have continued through intermittent US airstrikes on IRGC targets, Iranian responses near the Strait of Hormuz, and economic measures, all without a congressional declaration of war. President Trump has notified Congress of military actions under War Powers Resolution timelines and pursued sanctions plus naval pressure, while a June memorandum of understanding for talks collapsed amid resumed exchanges. Recent September 2026 US strikes on southern Iranian sites followed alleged threats to shipping, with troop deployments extended into 2027. Domestic resolutions seeking to constrain operations have surfaced, and administration statements have referenced both potential de-escalation and further leverage ahead of midterms. Formal declaration remains a distinct constitutional step separate from ongoing limited operations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
$7,814,803 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
2%
$7,814,803 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$842,169 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities that began with February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites have continued through intermittent US airstrikes on IRGC targets, Iranian responses near the Strait of Hormuz, and economic measures, all without a congressional declaration of war. President Trump has notified Congress of military actions under War Powers Resolution timelines and pursued sanctions plus naval pressure, while a June memorandum of understanding for talks collapsed amid resumed exchanges. Recent September 2026 US strikes on southern Iranian sites followed alleged threats to shipping, with troop deployments extended into 2027. Domestic resolutions seeking to constrain operations have surfaced, and administration statements have referenced both potential de-escalation and further leverage ahead of midterms. Formal declaration remains a distinct constitutional step separate from ongoing limited operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$7,814,803Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities that began with February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites have continued through intermittent US airstrikes on IRGC targets, Iranian responses near the Strait of Hormuz, and economic measures, all without a congressional declaration of war. President Trump has notified Congress of military actions under War Powers Resolution timelines and pursued sanctions plus naval pressure, while a June memorandum of understanding for talks collapsed amid resumed exchanges. Recent September 2026 US strikes on southern Iranian sites followed alleged threats to shipping, with troop deployments extended into 2027. Domestic resolutions seeking to constrain operations have surfaced, and administration statements have referenced both potential de-escalation and further leverage ahead of midterms. Formal declaration remains a distinct constitutional step separate from ongoing limited operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,814,803Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran hostilities that began with February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites have continued through intermittent US airstrikes on IRGC targets, Iranian responses near the Strait of Hormuz, and economic measures, all without a congressional declaration of war. President Trump has notified Congress of military actions under War Powers Resolution timelines and pursued sanctions plus naval pressure, while a June memorandum of understanding for talks collapsed amid resumed exchanges. Recent September 2026 US strikes on southern Iranian sites followed alleged threats to shipping, with troop deployments extended into 2027. Domestic resolutions seeking to constrain operations have surfaced, and administration statements have referenced both potential de-escalation and further leverage ahead of midterms. Formal declaration remains a distinct constitutional step separate from ongoing limited operations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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