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icon for #1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)

icon for #1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)

Ended: May 1

Jul 17

Ended: May 1

Jul 17

Doors - Noah Kahan 100.0%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike <1%

Be Her - Ella Langley <1%

Polymarket

$20,113 Vol.

Doors - Noah Kahan 100.0%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike <1%

Be Her - Ella Langley <1%

Polymarket

$20,113 Vol.

Doors - Noah Kahan

$10,837 Vol.

Yes

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$6,749 Vol.

No

Babydoll - Dominic Fike

$321 Vol.

No

Be Her - Ella Langley

$300 Vol.

No

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

$294 Vol.

No

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$330 Vol.

No

End of August - Noah Kahan

$199 Vol.

No

Potential - sombr

$473 Vol.

No

iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay

$301 Vol.

No

E85 - Don Toliver

$309 Vol.

No

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled May 1. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 1 by May 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.Noah Kahan's "Doors," the standout track from his newly released album *The Great Divide*, has surged to 100% market-implied odds for #1 on the US Spotify weekly chart ending May 1, fueled by its blockbuster daily debut of 2.73 million streams that crowned it atop the daily chart and propelled Noah Kahan to own the entire top six spots. This explosive momentum builds on his *Stick Season* era streaming dominance, with early-week viral buzz and promotional synergy driving sustained high-volume plays amid light competition. Olivia Rodrigo's "drop dead," despite an earlier multi-day reign at #1 with global debut appeal, has seen its trajectory cool to third or lower on recent dailies. An upset would require an improbable late-week viral resurgence via TikTok or playlist adds to overtake the gap, though trader consensus views Noah's lead as unassailable barring unforeseen shifts before charts lock.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled May 1.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 1 by May 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Volume
$20,113
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled May 1. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 1 by May 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled May 1. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 1 by May 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.Noah Kahan's "Doors," the standout track from his newly released album *The Great Divide*, has surged to 100% market-implied odds for #1 on the US Spotify weekly chart ending May 1, fueled by its blockbuster daily debut of 2.73 million streams that crowned it atop the daily chart and propelled Noah Kahan to own the entire top six spots. This explosive momentum builds on his *Stick Season* era streaming dominance, with early-week viral buzz and promotional synergy driving sustained high-volume plays amid light competition. Olivia Rodrigo's "drop dead," despite an earlier multi-day reign at #1 with global debut appeal, has seen its trajectory cool to third or lower on recent dailies. An upset would require an improbable late-week viral resurgence via TikTok or playlist adds to overtake the gap, though trader consensus views Noah's lead as unassailable barring unforeseen shifts before charts lock.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled May 1.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 1 by May 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Volume
$20,113
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled May 1. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 1 by May 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Doors - Noah Kahan" at 100%, followed by "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)" has generated $20.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)" is "Doors - Noah Kahan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.