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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader

icon for PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Robert MacIntyre 49%

Jacob Bridgeman 49%

Wyndham Clark 49%

Ryo Hisatsune 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Robert MacIntyre 49%

Jacob Bridgeman 49%

Wyndham Clark 49%

Ryo Hisatsune 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

49%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

49%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

49%

Ryo Hisatsune

$0 Vol.

49%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

49%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

49%

Keith Mitchell

$0 Vol.

49%

J.J. Spaun

$0 Vol.

49%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

49%

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

48%

Matt McCarty

$0 Vol.

48%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

48%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

48%

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

48%

Ludvig Aberg

$0 Vol.

48%

Maverick McNealy

$0 Vol.

48%

Alexander Noren

$0 Vol.

48%

Ben Griffin

$0 Vol.

47%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

47%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$0 Vol.

46%

Aaron Rai

$0 Vol.

45%

Ryan Fox

$0 Vol.

44%

Eric Cole

$0 Vol.

43%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

43%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

34%

Rickie Fowler

$0 Vol.

28%

Kurt Kitayama

$0 Vol.

28%

Patrick Cantlay

$0 Vol.

28%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

28%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

28%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

28%

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

28%

Justin Thomas

$0 Vol.

28%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

27%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

27%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

27%

Nicolas Echavarria

$0 Vol.

27%

JT Poston

$0 Vol.

27%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

27%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

27%

Michael Brennan

$0 Vol.

27%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

27%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

27%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

27%

Tom Kim

$0 Vol.

27%

Sahith Theegala

$0 Vol.

27%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

26%

Michael Thorbjornsen

$0 Vol.

26%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

26%

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The bunched pricing across a wide swath of the top-50 FedExCup field for BMW Championship first-round leader at Bellerive Country Club reflects the inherent variance of a single-round outcome on a Donald Ross design returning to the playoff rotation. Recent form from the ongoing St. Jude Championship, course history at the Missouri venue, and typical early-week setup variables limit separation among contenders such as Jacob Bridgeman, Wyndham Clark, Collin Morikawa, and Rory McIlroy. Strong field depth, absence of confirmed injuries or late scratches, and the statistical reality that first-round scoring leaders often emerge from outside the pre-tournament favorites keep implied probabilities tightly grouped, with trader consensus pricing most outcomes in a narrow band around even-money levels.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The bunched pricing across a wide swath of the top-50 FedExCup field for BMW Championship first-round leader at Bellerive Country Club reflects the inherent variance of a single-round outcome on a Donald Ross design returning to the playoff rotation. Recent form from the ongoing St. Jude Championship, course history at the Missouri venue, and typical early-week setup variables limit separation among contenders such as Jacob Bridgeman, Wyndham Clark, Collin Morikawa, and Rory McIlroy. Strong field depth, absence of confirmed injuries or late scratches, and the statistical reality that first-round scoring leaders often emerge from outside the pre-tournament favorites keep implied probabilities tightly grouped, with trader consensus pricing most outcomes in a narrow band around even-money levels.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert MacIntyre" at 49%, followed by "Jacob Bridgeman" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader" is "Robert MacIntyre" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jacob Bridgeman" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: BMW Championship First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.