Skip to main content
icon for PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader

icon for PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Keith Mitchell 49%

Ludvig Aberg 49%

Jacob Bridgeman 49%

Bud Cauley 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Keith Mitchell 49%

Ludvig Aberg 49%

Jacob Bridgeman 49%

Bud Cauley 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Keith Mitchell

$0 Vol.

49%

Ludvig Aberg

$0 Vol.

49%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

49%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

49%

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

49%

Matt McCarty

$0 Vol.

49%

JT Poston

$0 Vol.

49%

J.J. Spaun

$0 Vol.

49%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

48%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

48%

Rickie Fowler

$0 Vol.

48%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

48%

Ryo Hisatsune

$0 Vol.

48%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$0 Vol.

48%

Tom Kim

$0 Vol.

48%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

48%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

48%

Sahith Theegala

$0 Vol.

48%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

48%

Alexander Noren

$0 Vol.

48%

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

48%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

47%

Aaron Rai

$0 Vol.

47%

Ben Griffin

$0 Vol.

46%

Patrick Cantlay

$0 Vol.

46%

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

46%

Michael Brennan

$0 Vol.

44%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

36%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

28%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

28%

Ryan Fox

$0 Vol.

28%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

28%

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

28%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

28%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

28%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

28%

Michael Thorbjornsen

$0 Vol.

28%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

28%

Eric Cole

$0 Vol.

27%

Nicolas Echavarria

$0 Vol.

27%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

27%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

27%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

27%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

27%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

27%

Kurt Kitayama

$0 Vol.

27%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

27%

Maverick McNealy

$0 Vol.

27%

Justin Thomas

$0 Vol.

27%

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The tightly bunched probabilities for the BMW Championship third-round leader reflect the deep field of 50 FedEx Cup playoff qualifiers, where recent form from the St. Jude Championship and strong course history at Castle Pines create parity among contenders like Scottie Scheffler, Ludvig Åberg, Keith Mitchell, and Jacob Bridgeman. Multiple players enter with comparable ball-striking metrics, putting accuracy on firm greens, and momentum from low rounds in Memphis, while weather, pin placements, and daily variance in scoring make any single leader after 54 holes difficult to project with high conviction. This competitive balance keeps implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh roster depth against the potential for hot streaks or back-nine surges from a wide group.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The tightly bunched probabilities for the BMW Championship third-round leader reflect the deep field of 50 FedEx Cup playoff qualifiers, where recent form from the St. Jude Championship and strong course history at Castle Pines create parity among contenders like Scottie Scheffler, Ludvig Åberg, Keith Mitchell, and Jacob Bridgeman. Multiple players enter with comparable ball-striking metrics, putting accuracy on firm greens, and momentum from low rounds in Memphis, while weather, pin placements, and daily variance in scoring make any single leader after 54 holes difficult to project with high conviction. This competitive balance keeps implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh roster depth against the potential for hot streaks or back-nine surges from a wide group.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Related

icon for Will Ludvig Aberg lead the 2026 BMW Championship following the second round?

Will Ludvig Aberg lead the 2026 BMW Championship following the second round?

50%
icon for Will Jacob Bridgeman lead the 2026 BMW Championship following the first round?

Will Jacob Bridgeman lead the 2026 BMW Championship following the first round?

49%
icon for Will Scottie Scheffler lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship following the third round?

Will Scottie Scheffler lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship following the third round?

55%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keith Mitchell" at 49%, followed by "Ludvig Aberg" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader" is "Keith Mitchell" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ludvig Aberg" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Third Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.