The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club features a demanding setup with firm, fast greens, penal rough, and uneven lies that reward precise ball-striking and scrambling over raw distance. With the field of 156 players finalized after June 8 final qualifying and practice rounds underway, recent form from the PGA Championship and strong major performers like Scottie Scheffler, J.J. Spaun, and Rory McIlroy shape trader views on top-20 probabilities. Historical Shinnecock results emphasize accuracy off the tee and approach play, while weather, course setup adjustments, and late-week fatigue could shift outcomes for contenders and mid-tier players alike. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of current rankings, course fit, and head-to-head trends at this venue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler
65%
Rory McIlroy
64%
Jon Rahm
64%
Tommy Fleetwood
64%
Xander Schauffele
61%
Matt Fitzpatrick
59%
Cameron Young
56%
J.J. Spaun
55%
Johnny Keefer
55%
Benjamin James
55%
Caleb Surratt
55%
Patrick Cantlay
54%
Viktor Hovland
54%
Keith Mitchell
53%
Nick Taylor
53%
Andrew Putnam
51%
Russell Henley
51%
Pierceson Coody
51%
Emiliano Grillo
51%
Si Woo Kim
51%
Justin Thomas
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
49%
Bud Cauley
48%
Sam Burns
48%
Corey Conners
48%
Harry Hall
47%
Kristoffer Reitan
47%
Collin Morikawa
47%
Wyndham Clark
47%
Brooks Koepka
46%
Jordan Spieth
46%
Tyrrell Hatton
44%
Daniel Berger
44%
Chris Gotterup
44%
Patrick Reed
43%
Ryo Hisatsune
43%
Hideki Matsuyama
41%
Robert MacIntyre
41%
Kurt Kitayama
41%
Min Woo Lee
41%
Jimmy Stanger
41%
Brian Harman
40%
Shane Lowry
39%
Ben Griffin
39%
Maverick McNealy
39%
Joaquin Niemann
38%
Harris English
38%
Aaron Rai
38%
Alex Fitzpatrick
38%
Adam Scott
38%
Alexander Noren
36%
Sepp Straka
36%
Ryan Gerard
36%
Alex Smalley
35%
Justin Rose
35%
David Puig
35%
Jacob Bridgeman
35%
Keegan Bradley
34%
JT Poston
34%
Gary Woodland
34%
Jackson Koivun
33%
Sahith Theegala
33%
Akshay Bhatia
33%
Jason Day
33%
Dustin Johnson
32%
Ryan Fox
32%
Tom Kim
32%
Cameron Smith
31%
Michael Brennan
31%
Max Greyserman
31%
Jayden Schaper
31%
Sam Stevens
31%
Andrew Novak
31%
Matt McCarty
31%
Rickie Fowler
30%
Sung-Jae Im
30%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
30%
Davis Thompson
30%
Lucas Herbert
30%
Michael Kim
30%
Carlos Ortiz
30%
Max McGreevy
29%
Jackson Suber
28%
Chris Kirk
28%
William Mouw
28%
Nicolas Echavarria
28%
Zac Blair
28%
Nathan Kimsey
27%
Patrick Rodgers
27%
Ben Kohles
27%
Billy Horschel
27%
John Parry
27%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
27%
Matthew Jordan
26%
Laurie Canter
26%
Kevin Roy
26%
Jake Knapp
25%
Cole Hammer
25%
Nick Hardy
24%
Graeme McDowell
24%
$0.00 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
65%
Rory McIlroy
64%
Jon Rahm
64%
Tommy Fleetwood
64%
Xander Schauffele
61%
Matt Fitzpatrick
59%
Cameron Young
56%
J.J. Spaun
55%
Johnny Keefer
55%
Benjamin James
55%
Caleb Surratt
55%
Patrick Cantlay
54%
Viktor Hovland
54%
Keith Mitchell
53%
Nick Taylor
53%
Andrew Putnam
51%
Russell Henley
51%
Pierceson Coody
51%
Emiliano Grillo
51%
Si Woo Kim
51%
Justin Thomas
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
49%
Bud Cauley
48%
Sam Burns
48%
Corey Conners
48%
Harry Hall
47%
Kristoffer Reitan
47%
Collin Morikawa
47%
Wyndham Clark
47%
Brooks Koepka
46%
Jordan Spieth
46%
Tyrrell Hatton
44%
Daniel Berger
44%
Chris Gotterup
44%
Patrick Reed
43%
Ryo Hisatsune
43%
Hideki Matsuyama
41%
Robert MacIntyre
41%
Kurt Kitayama
41%
Min Woo Lee
41%
Jimmy Stanger
41%
Brian Harman
40%
Shane Lowry
39%
Ben Griffin
39%
Maverick McNealy
39%
Joaquin Niemann
38%
Harris English
38%
Aaron Rai
38%
Alex Fitzpatrick
38%
Adam Scott
38%
Alexander Noren
36%
Sepp Straka
36%
Ryan Gerard
36%
Alex Smalley
35%
Justin Rose
35%
David Puig
35%
Jacob Bridgeman
35%
Keegan Bradley
34%
JT Poston
34%
Gary Woodland
34%
Jackson Koivun
33%
Sahith Theegala
33%
Akshay Bhatia
33%
Jason Day
33%
Dustin Johnson
32%
Ryan Fox
32%
Tom Kim
32%
Cameron Smith
31%
Michael Brennan
31%
Max Greyserman
31%
Jayden Schaper
31%
Sam Stevens
31%
Andrew Novak
31%
Matt McCarty
31%
Rickie Fowler
30%
Sung-Jae Im
30%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
30%
Davis Thompson
30%
Lucas Herbert
30%
Michael Kim
30%
Carlos Ortiz
30%
Max McGreevy
29%
Jackson Suber
28%
Chris Kirk
28%
William Mouw
28%
Nicolas Echavarria
28%
Zac Blair
28%
Nathan Kimsey
27%
Patrick Rodgers
27%
Ben Kohles
27%
Billy Horschel
27%
John Parry
27%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
27%
Matthew Jordan
26%
Laurie Canter
26%
Kevin Roy
26%
Jake Knapp
25%
Cole Hammer
25%
Nick Hardy
24%
Graeme McDowell
24%
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club features a demanding setup with firm, fast greens, penal rough, and uneven lies that reward precise ball-striking and scrambling over raw distance. With the field of 156 players finalized after June 8 final qualifying and practice rounds underway, recent form from the PGA Championship and strong major performers like Scottie Scheffler, J.J. Spaun, and Rory McIlroy shape trader views on top-20 probabilities. Historical Shinnecock results emphasize accuracy off the tee and approach play, while weather, course setup adjustments, and late-week fatigue could shift outcomes for contenders and mid-tier players alike. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of current rankings, course fit, and head-to-head trends at this venue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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