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icon for The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner

The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner

icon for The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner

The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner

Keenan Hayes 100.0%

Clayton Biglow <1%

Tilden Hooper <1%

Daxtyn Feild <1%

Polymarket

$4,315 Vol.

Keenan Hayes 100.0%

Clayton Biglow <1%

Tilden Hooper <1%

Daxtyn Feild <1%

Polymarket

$4,315 Vol.

Clayton Biglow

$333 Vol.

No

Tilden Hooper

$318 Vol.

No

Daxtyn Feild

$532 Vol.

No

Orin Larson

$808 Vol.

No

Cole Reiner

$415 Vol.

No

Tim O'Connell

$391 Vol.

No

Bradlee Miller

$419 Vol.

No

Keenan Hayes

$1,100 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Bareback Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of American Rodeo. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American West Regionals are canceled, postponed or no winner has been declared by May 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from American Rodeo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keenan Hayes secured a dominant trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the West Regional Bareback winner after posting an 86.25-point ride aboard his mount in the finals at South Point Arena in Las Vegas on May 1-2, outscoring competitors like Daxtyn Feild (86.5 in semis but lower final) and Clayton Biglow. As the former PRCA World Champion bareback rider with strong recent form from winter circuit wins, Hayes clinched advancement to The American Rodeo main event, prompting traders to price others near zero following official results announcement. Realistic challenges would require a rare scoring correction, disqualification, or protest upheld by event officials, though none have surfaced in the past 24 hours.

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Bareback Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of American Rodeo.

In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American West Regionals are canceled, postponed or no winner has been declared by May 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from American Rodeo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,315
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Bareback Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of American Rodeo. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American West Regionals are canceled, postponed or no winner has been declared by May 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from American Rodeo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Bareback Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of American Rodeo. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American West Regionals are canceled, postponed or no winner has been declared by May 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from American Rodeo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keenan Hayes secured a dominant trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the West Regional Bareback winner after posting an 86.25-point ride aboard his mount in the finals at South Point Arena in Las Vegas on May 1-2, outscoring competitors like Daxtyn Feild (86.5 in semis but lower final) and Clayton Biglow. As the former PRCA World Champion bareback rider with strong recent form from winter circuit wins, Hayes clinched advancement to The American Rodeo main event, prompting traders to price others near zero following official results announcement. Realistic challenges would require a rare scoring correction, disqualification, or protest upheld by event officials, though none have surfaced in the past 24 hours.

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Bareback Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of American Rodeo.

In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American West Regionals are canceled, postponed or no winner has been declared by May 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from American Rodeo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,315
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Bareback Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of American Rodeo. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American West Regionals are canceled, postponed or no winner has been declared by May 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from American Rodeo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keenan Hayes" at 100%, followed by "Clayton Biglow" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner" is "Keenan Hayes" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clayton Biglow" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.