The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the Partido Popular, two short of the 55-seat threshold for an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament, confirming the outcome reflected in current trader consensus. This result marked a five-seat decline from the PP’s 2022 performance amid higher turnout, with the PSOE securing 28 seats and Vox obtaining 15. Official counts with over 99 percent of ballots processed have left little room for reversal, as the seat shortfall stems directly from vote distribution across the region’s provinces. Any remaining uncertainty centers on formal certification processes or narrow legal challenges, though historical patterns in Spanish regional elections show such disputes rarely alter final tallies when margins exceed a few seats.