Tyson Fury's overwhelming experience as a former multi-time heavyweight champion, boasting elite ring IQ, footwork, and proven resilience against top-tier foes, drives his 84.5% implied probability against power-punching contender Arslanbek Makhmudov ahead of their April 11 showdown at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Both heavyweights made weight cleanly yesterday—Fury at 121.5 kg and Makhmudov at 120.2 kg—with no injury concerns reported from official camp updates or fight week pressers. Makhmudov, 21-2 with 19 KOs including recent stoppages over Guido Vianello and Raphael Akpejiori, brings aggressive pressure and 90% knockout rate but faces a stylistic nightmare in Fury's size advantage, reach, and tactical mastery honed in high-stakes title fights. Traders reflect this mismatch in pricing, though Makhmudov's early power remains Fury's chief upset threat in the 12-round bout live on Netflix.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
Fury
$28,825 Vol.
$28,825 Vol.
Fury
$28,825 Vol.
$28,825 Vol.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tyson Fury's overwhelming experience as a former multi-time heavyweight champion, boasting elite ring IQ, footwork, and proven resilience against top-tier foes, drives his 84.5% implied probability against power-punching contender Arslanbek Makhmudov ahead of their April 11 showdown at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Both heavyweights made weight cleanly yesterday—Fury at 121.5 kg and Makhmudov at 120.2 kg—with no injury concerns reported from official camp updates or fight week pressers. Makhmudov, 21-2 with 19 KOs including recent stoppages over Guido Vianello and Raphael Akpejiori, brings aggressive pressure and 90% knockout rate but faces a stylistic nightmare in Fury's size advantage, reach, and tactical mastery honed in high-stakes title fights. Traders reflect this mismatch in pricing, though Makhmudov's early power remains Fury's chief upset threat in the 12-round bout live on Netflix.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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