Market icon

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

Market icon

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

Fury

85% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$28,825 Vol.

Fury

85% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$28,825 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Tyson Fury's overwhelming experience as a former multi-time heavyweight champion, boasting elite ring IQ, footwork, and proven resilience against top-tier foes, drives his 84.5% implied probability against power-punching contender Arslanbek Makhmudov ahead of their April 11 showdown at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Both heavyweights made weight cleanly yesterday—Fury at 121.5 kg and Makhmudov at 120.2 kg—with no injury concerns reported from official camp updates or fight week pressers. Makhmudov, 21-2 with 19 KOs including recent stoppages over Guido Vianello and Raphael Akpejiori, brings aggressive pressure and 90% knockout rate but faces a stylistic nightmare in Fury's size advantage, reach, and tactical mastery honed in high-stakes title fights. Traders reflect this mismatch in pricing, though Makhmudov's early power remains Fury's chief upset threat in the 12-round bout live on Netflix.

This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,825
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Tyson Fury's overwhelming experience as a former multi-time heavyweight champion, boasting elite ring IQ, footwork, and proven resilience against top-tier foes, drives his 84.5% implied probability against power-punching contender Arslanbek Makhmudov ahead of their April 11 showdown at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Both heavyweights made weight cleanly yesterday—Fury at 121.5 kg and Makhmudov at 120.2 kg—with no injury concerns reported from official camp updates or fight week pressers. Makhmudov, 21-2 with 19 KOs including recent stoppages over Guido Vianello and Raphael Akpejiori, brings aggressive pressure and 90% knockout rate but faces a stylistic nightmare in Fury's size advantage, reach, and tactical mastery honed in high-stakes title fights. Traders reflect this mismatch in pricing, though Makhmudov's early power remains Fury's chief upset threat in the 12-round bout live on Netflix.

This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,825
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov" has generated $28.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov" is "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.